1
Misty Eyed
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 72
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Assiniboia Downs | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-28 | Assiniboia Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 05/10/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 29/11/2025 | 5th | 1/1 | 95% | 33% | -0.61 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 17/06/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 14% | -0.49 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |