Zippy Gamble
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 77
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-18 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |