3
Rapid Grey
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 15/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 14/12/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |