Roi Soleil
5yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 95
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
46%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-02 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-10-17 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 12/06/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 20/07/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 17/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |