6
Holiday Snooze
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 91
Woodbine · Race 6 - Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 01/08/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 26/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 20/11/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |