Mohaymen Diamond
4yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 90
Woodbine · Race 6 - Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 14/09/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |