Pageant Queen
3yo Filly · 8-4 · OR 83
Woodbine · Race 6 - Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-07-26 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 14/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 19/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 30/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |