Peace Posey
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 91
Woodbine · Race 6 - Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 16/10/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 21/11/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 07/12/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |