2
Sluggernaut
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 84
Woodbine · Race 6 - Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength30%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2024 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 07/09/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |