5
Spun Around
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 86
Woodbine · Race 6 - Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2024 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 14/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 02/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 05/10/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |