6
Gran Spirited
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 74
Woodbine · Race 7 - Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-20 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 18/08/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 15/09/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 20/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 06/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |