8

Sunrise Drive

8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 89

Woodbine · Race 7 - Claiming · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Fort Erie 07/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 91 · 1m110y Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/10/2025 · OR 91 par7/10C7OR 91C5 @ Fort Erie 21/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/10/2025 · OR 92 parC7 @ Woodbine 30/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 95 · 1m110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/10/2025 · OR 95 par30/10C7OR 95C8 @ Woodbine 21/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fas 123 · beat its mark21/11/2025 · OR 93 parC7 @ Woodbine 07/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 89 · 1m1f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/12/2025 · OR 89 par7/12C7OR 89C7 @ Woodbine 23/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 91 parC7 @ Woodbine 21/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 95 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 95 par21/06C7OR 95C8 @ Woodbine 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 95 · 7f 121 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 95 parC7 @ Woodbine 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 93 par28/08C7OR 93projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Woodbine?4th3rd+1
2026-08-07Woodbine?2nd2nd0
2026-06-21Woodbine?3rd2nd+1
2026-05-23Woodbine?2nd1st+1
2025-12-07Woodbine?1st0th+1
2025-11-21Woodbine?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1021/1121/0628/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/10/20252nd13/891%80%-0.11
21/10/20254th5/287%57%-0.30
30/10/20256th9/153%29%-0.24
21/11/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
07/12/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
23/05/20262nd8/158%86%+0.28
21/06/20263rd11/486%67%-0.19
07/08/20262nd10/382%80%-0.02
28/08/20264th15/261%63%+0.02