16:15 · Yarmouth

LA Continental Cafe Of Great Yarmouth Handicap

1m 3yGoodClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap15 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 68
9/2
Timely Affair silks

Mrs Susie Hartley

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Time Test - Velvet Morn (Epaulette)

Taylor Fisher1/2W J Knight60%
213311
8.0

Has enjoyed a productive campaign, making it 4 wins for the year when making all on the all-weather at Lingfield last month. Placed over this C&D in May and he's a major player in his hat-trick bid with yard going well.

Class Advantage

11/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/04 · mark par11/0429/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par20/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 15
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 1m 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 88%11/04Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 78%20/05Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%23/07Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%22/08
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.4%Ahead 3/4
14
4
OR 55
8/1
Makes Me Wonder silks

John Cook & Partner

4yo Gelding · 8-13

Holy Roman Emperor - Lights On Me (Kyllachy)

Jack Dace70%−5lbD M Simcock60%
244822
7.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Sole success came over this C&D last spring. Has largely held his form well since, again finding only one too strong in 10-runner contest at Brighton 16 days ago. Cheekpieces applied as he moves back up in grade.

Class Advantage

3/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par3/0815/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par13/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/10 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 15
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 1m 3y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%3/08Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 77%13/10Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 86%15/08Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%1/09
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.8%Ahead 4/4
5
5
OR 70
12/1
Mountain Of Light silks

Mr Saeed Suhail

3yo Filly · 9-10

Night Of Thunder - Zain Hana (Shamardal)

Oisin Murphy80%0/1James Horton
7822
6.0Going 8.0

Took a step forward when second in maiden at Ffos Las (1m) last month. Wasn't able to find any further progress when again finding one too strong on handicap debut at the same course (7.5f) 20 days ago, though it still remains early days for her.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0411/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/064/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0828/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 15
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 1m 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 14%25/04Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 30%11/06Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%4/08Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%28/08
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.7%Ahead 3/4
3
6
OR 67
6/1
Rusheen Boy silks

Newmarket Equine Tours Racing Club

5yo Gelding · 9-11

Coach House - Displaying Amber (Showcasing)

S M Levey70%1/2J & S Birkett
831551
7.0
Tongue strap

Doubled his tally for the season when winning a match at this course (7f) in June and, after a couple of lesser efforts, got back on the up when also landing 14-runner contest at Southwell (1m) 17 days ago. Task is now to build on latest effort.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/04 · mark par15/0419/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par28/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 15
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 1m 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 36%15/04Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%11/06Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%28/07Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.8%Ahead 3/4
6
3
OR 66
10/1
Born A Rebel silks

Mr Patrick Owens

5yo Mare · 9-10

Outstrip - Right Rebel (Cockney Rebel)

Benoit D L Sayette60%3/9P Owens
202432
7.0

Won twice over 7f last year, including at this meeting. In-and-out form so far this season but has run well over 1m the last twice, splitting a couple of less-exposed rivals when second of 7 at Newmarket 6 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

24/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par24/0412/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par6/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 15
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 1m 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 93%24/04Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 90%20/06Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 67%31/07Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%6/08
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.9%Ahead 2/4
12
Value2
OR 67
8/1
Guest House silks

John Guest Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Dark Angel - Princess Yaiza (Casamento)

D Egan60%G G Margarson
147314
7.0Class ↓3

Made a winning return in handicap over this C&D in April and doubled his tally with a clear-cut success here last month. Wasn't in the same form at Newmarket on latest outing, but no surprise to see him bounce back at this venue.

Class Advantage

30/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par30/0416/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par2/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 15
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 1m 3y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%30/04Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 33%19/06Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%2/08Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%22/08
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -34.5%Ahead 1/4
13
8
OR 65
7/1
Khuskhas silks

Mr C J Murfitt

3yo Filly · 9-5

Palace Pier - Papaver (Dansili)

R Havlin60%1/2Tom Clover
050142
6.0
Hood

Maiden winner over 6f here last summer and returned to winning ways in handicap at Newmarket (1m) in June, his final outing for James Ferguson. Has made the frame both starts for present stable, switched to a hood when second of 7 at Newmarket last time.

Class Advantage

14/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/10 · mark par14/107/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par15/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 15
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 1m 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 8%14/10Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%15/05Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 57%27/07Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 83%22/08
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.7%Ahead 2/4
9
7
OR 68
7/1
Eduardo Calderon silks

Mr David Batten

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Shaman - Deia Glory (Kyllachy)

Kaiya Fraser70%0/5Harry Eustace
724432
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Has returned to form with placed efforts on his last 2 starts, arguably unlucky not to gain a breakthrough success when never-nearer second at Epsom (8.5f) 17 days ago. That was his first attempt at around this trip, so there could still be better to come.

Class Advantage

23/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/1025/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par21/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par4/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 1m 3y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 25%23/10Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 73%21/05Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%19/08Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%31/08
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.6%Ahead 1/4
4
9
OR 67
10/1
Dashing Dick silks

Miss Caroline Scott

8yo Gelding · 9-11

Cable Bay - Raggiante (Rock Of Gibraltar)

J Mitchell60%0/7W Stone60%
836564
5.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

Front runner who is yet to win this season but has made the frame twice at Newmarket (7f), including when fourth of 10 on latest outing. Goes well at this track so he could make a bold bid back down in grade.

Class Advantage

2/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par2/0619/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par4/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par18/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par20/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 15
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 1m 3y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 13%2/06Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%4/07Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%6/08Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%20/08
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.1%Ahead 1/4
10
11
OR 63
25/1
Man Of Desert silks

Strawberry Fields Stud

5yo Gelding · 9-7

Study Of Man - Desert Berry (Green Desert)

Harry Davies60%C A Dwyer80%
574277
4.0Class ↓3
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Maiden who, fitted with tongue strap, posted best effort of the season when second of 5 in handicap over this C&D in July. Has failed to repeat that performance in 2 starts since, though, down the field here (1¼m) 18 days ago. Blinkers added.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par4/0520/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par12/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 14th of 15
Class readCOMPETITIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 1m 3y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%4/05Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%28/05Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%12/08Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%30/08
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.0%Ahead 2/4
1
10
OR 70
20/1
Packetofbiscuits silks

A Pot To Pete In Syndicate

4yo Gelding · 10-0

Showcasing - Queen Sarra (Shamardal)

Tom Marquand70%J Mackie60%
250786
3.0
Blinkers

Enjoyed a fine spell on all-weather early in the year, recording back-to-back wins at Southwell (7f) in February. Went off the boil subsequently, though hinted at a revival when 3¾ lengths sixth of 8 at Thirsk 12 days ago. Remains lightly raced over 1m.

Class Advantage

11/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/03 · mark par11/0329/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par18/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par30/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par18/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 15
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 1m 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%11/03Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 12 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 12 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%18/04Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 13%18/08Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%5/09
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 11-15 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.0%Ahead 2/4
7
12
OR 66
16/1
Tactical Plan silks

Mr E A L Dunlop

4yo Gelding · 9-10

Kodiac - Game Plan (Australia)

Rossa Ryan70%0/3E A L Dunlop60%
048044
5.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Losing run is mounting up but took a step back in the right direction when fourth of 12 at Brighton in June. Back in cheekpieces, ran to a similar level when filling the same position in 5-runner race over this C&D 11 weeks ago. Any rain would be in his favour.

Class Advantage

29/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par29/0313/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par30/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par2/07projClass-projected finish: 13th of 15
Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 1m 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 16 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 16 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%29/03Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%30/04Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 73%9/06Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 25%2/07
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.1%Ahead 1/4
11
14
OR 67
25/1
Forever Endless silks

Endless Possibilities

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Ulysses - Zuhoor Baynoona (Elnadim)

Billy Loughnane80%K Frost60%
5555
3.0

Didn't make much impact in his qualifying runs and wasn't able to improve for the switch to handicaps when fifth of 7 at Newmarket last month. Has work to do.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0513/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/067/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/0722/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 15
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 75%Dist: 1m 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 20%9/05Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%13/06Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%7/07Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%22/08
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.6%Ahead 4/4
8
13
OR 69
25/1
New Bay Star silks

Mr Gavin Hamilton

3yo Gelding · 9-9

New Bay - Stellar Path (Astronomer Royal)

Ray DawsonM Appleby
423206
3.0Class ↓2

Lost out narrowly in 11f maiden at Kempton in January, his final run for Charlie Johnston. However, well below that level in 2 starts for this yard, making a belated handicap debut when down the field at Southwell 17 days ago. Drops back in trip.

Class Advantage

27/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/1011/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/12 · mark par9/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/01 · mark par21/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/01 · mark par29/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 15
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 1m 3y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%27/10Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%9/01Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 41%29/07Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%31/08
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 10-15 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.9%Ahead 1/4
15
15
OR 52
33/1
Montpellier Green silks

Mr Ian Williams

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Mehmas - Cumbfree (Footstepsinthesand)

Edward Greatrex60%0/2Ian Williams
889008
2.0Class ↓2

Struggled for form in handicaps for this yard last year, though after 7 months off he probably needed the run when well held at Chester (7f) in July. Has dropped a long way in the weights so he's worth a market check.

Class Advantage

30/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/081/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/10 · mark par29/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/10 · mark par3/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/12 · mark par20/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/12 · mark par10/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 15th of 15
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 1m 3y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%30/08Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 33%29/10Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%20/12Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%10/07
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 12-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.3%Ahead 1/4