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19:00 · Newcastle

Get Raceday Ready Handicap

5fGoing TBCClass 63YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
2
OR 49
4/1
Lady Bouquet silks

James and Susan Cookson

Lady Bouquet

5yo Mare · 9-3

Land Force - Loulou Bellini (Toronado)

Aiden Brookes1/5P A Kirby60%
434913
6.0
Cheek pieces

Bounced back to form to notch her first success of the season in 10-runner handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good to firm) in August. Wasn't disgraced under a 5 lb penalty when 1¾ lengths third of 9 to stablemate Ellie's De Vega over C&D since.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par8/0629/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%8/06Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%16/07Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%24/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%2/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.5%Ahead 2/4
7
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 52
5/2
Ellie's De Vega silks

The Ellie Hunter Racing Syndicate

Ellie's De Vega

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Lope Y Fernandez - Peak Spirit (Invincible Spirit)

S D Bowen60%P A Kirby60%
352261
7.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Ran up to best to get off the mark on third start for current yard in 9-runner handicap over C&D 17 days ago. The runner-up has since franked that form, so he's respected bidding to follow up from a 3 lb higher mark.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par20/066/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%20/06Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 89%25/07Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%22/08Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%2/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.2%Ahead 2/4
5
4
OR 53
12/1
Tawaazon silks

Mr J O Mythen

Tawaazon

8yo Gelding · 9-7

Invincible Spirit - Tamadhor (Arcano)

Rowan Scott60%J A Kinsella100%
959455
3.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Is still to win this season but is lurking on a dangerous mark and shaped as if still in good form when fifth of 19 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, good to soft) 21 days ago. Remains of interest.

Class Advantage

1/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/074/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par3/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par23/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par29/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%1/07Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 64%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 53%18/07Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 79%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%23/08Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%29/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.1%Ahead 4/4
1
6
OR 58
3/1
Solid Bond silks

Mr J N Blackburn

Solid Bond

4yo Filly · 9-12

Profitable - Flick Show (Fastnet Rock)

Zak Wheatley60%1/7D Carroll
070831
6.0
Tongue strap

Had been given 12 weeks off since a bleeding episode at Southwell and bounced back to form to get off the mark at the eleventh time of asking in 12-runner handicap at Carlisle (5f, good to soft) 10 days ago, always holding on. Task is now to build on that.

Class Advantage

24/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par24/096/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/10 · mark par27/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/10 · mark par5/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par18/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%24/09Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 17%27/10Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 71%18/06Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.5%Ahead 3/4
4
3
OR 54
25/1
Khabib silks

Mr Ray Craggs

Khabib

8yo Gelding · 9-8

Mehmas - Lady Mega (Kodiac)

C Horgan0/1−5lbR Craggs60%
209897
3.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

On a long losing run and remains easy enough to oppose despite showing a bit more than previously this season over C&D last time.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par16/0825/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par2/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par16/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%16/08Pos 14 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 14 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 13%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%2/05Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%1/08Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 14%3/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.8%Ahead 2/4
2
8
OR 54
8/1
Invincible Crown silks

Grange Park Racing Viii & Mrs R Carr

Invincible Crown

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Inns Of Court - Nurse Dee (Kodiac)

J P Sullivan60%2/18Mrs R Carr
214403
5.0

Hold-up performer who registered 3 career wins at Wolverhampton prior to opening his turf account at Musselburgh (5f) in June. Not disgraced in a stronger race at Catterick next time but hasn't achieved the same heights subsequently.

Class Advantage

25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par25/0630/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par3/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par17/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%25/06Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 63%15/07Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 25%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%17/08Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%3/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.9%Ahead 1/4
10
5
OR 47
14/1
Korroor silks

Miss Helen E Cuthbert

Korroor

5yo Gelding · 9-1

Kodiac - Rekdhat (Shamardal)

Mark WinnHelen Cuthbert
106345
4.0

Course winner who again failed to keep straight under pressure when fifth of 12 in classified event at Southwell (6f) in February. Since sold out of Julie Camacho's yard for only 1,800gns.

Class Advantage

6/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/11 · mark par6/1118/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/11 · mark par9/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/12 · mark par1/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/01 · mark par24/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/01 · mark par5/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/02 · mark par5/02projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%6/11Pos 10 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 10 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 31%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 55%9/12Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 57%24/01Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 64%5/02
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.2%Ahead 0/4
3
7
OR 54
12/1
Crafty Spirit silks

Caballo Racing Two

Crafty Spirit

5yo Gelding · 9-8

Invincible Spirit - Crafty Madam (Mastercraftsman)

Barry McHugh60%2/4J S Wainwright60%
721138
6.0
Visor

Landed back-to-back handicaps at Wetherby (5.5f) and Beverley (5f) this summer. Posted a good third back up in grade at latter track in late July but struggled to land a blow following another tardy start at Carlisle on most recent outing. Visor refitted.

Class Advantage

1/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/10 · mark par1/1027/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par28/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%1/10Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%15/06Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%28/07Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 30%27/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.6%Ahead 2/4
9
9
OR 47
16/1
South Shore Island silks

Cheltenham For Breakfast

South Shore Island

4yo Gelding · 9-1

Blue Point - Faithful Duchess (Bachelor Duke)

Billy GarrittyLizzie Quinlan70%
534245
5.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Maiden who again wasn't disgraced in a first-time tongue strap when fifth of 16 in handicap at Redcar (6f, good) 28 days ago. Makes tapeta debut and likely to remain competitive.

Class Advantage

31/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/12 · mark par31/124/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par29/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 43%31/12Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 63%11/06Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%11/08Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 73%22/08
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.8%Ahead 2/4
6
10
OR 52
20/1
Keep The Gold silks

Slaters Arms Racing Club

Keep The Gold

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Havana Gold - Keep The Secret (Sakhee's Secret)

Rhys Elliott−5lbM Dods60%
254979
2.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Remains winless and is merely ticking over at present, finishing ninth of 11 in 5f handicap at Carlisle on most recent outing.

Class Advantage

5/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par5/055/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 88%5/05Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%20/06Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 45%8/08Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%27/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.5%Ahead 2/4