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16:07 · Fontwell

betting.bet Free Bets Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

2m 1f 162yGoodClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 91
5/1
Midnight Pass silks

Ms G E Morgan

Midnight Pass

5yo Mare · 11-12

Passing Glance - Midnight Gem (Midnight Legend)

Freddie Keighley60%−5lbM Keighley
34P4P3
6.0Going 8.0

Runner-up in a bumper last summer. Modest form over hurdles, though did run right up to her best when third in maiden company in July. Since left Emma Lavelle.

Class Advantage

6/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/0923/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par24/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par15/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par15/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 2m 1f 162y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 27%6/09Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%13/10Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 57%24/05Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 71%15/07
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.8%Ahead 3/4
10
2
OR 68
25/1
Bacardi Blue silks

D Summersby J May W Dodd

Bacardi Blue

5yo Gelding · 10-5

Blue Bresil - Every Moment (Shirocco)

Bryan Carver0/4D Summersby70%
552633
5.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Runner-up in a point but well held all 4 starts under Rules. Handicap debut with cheekpieces on and worth a market check.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0911/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/0623/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0622/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength61%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 2m 1f 162y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%9/09Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 29%11/06Pos 3 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 60%23/06Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%22/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.2%Ahead 3/4
8
3
OR 72
4/1
Lucky In Taipan silks

Easy Going Racing

Lucky In Taipan

6yo Gelding · 10-7

Lucky Speed - Rose Of Taipan (Taipan)

Elliott England60%−7lbB Pauling90%
P6063P
4.0Class ↓4
1st Visor +2

Displayed ability in bumpers in 2024. No impact for Max Young last year but did shape fair bit better than on stable debut when third of 9 in handicap hurdle at Worcester (2½m, good) last month. Held back by jumping at Bangor 18 days ago and a visor now goes on. No surprise were he to bounce back.

Class Advantage

11/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/1223/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par12/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 2m 1f 162y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%11/12Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 29%31/08Pos 13 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 17%12/07Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%19/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.5%Ahead 2/4
5
Market Fav7
OR 78
3/1
Winston's Oath silks

Mr T Parry

Winston's Oath

4yo Gelding · 10-11

Churchill - Honor Bound (Authorized)

S Bowen80%James Owen70%
636397
3.0
1st Visor +2

Showed a bit on bumper debut but failed to kick on over hurdles for Dylan Cunha. Low-key start to Flat career for James Owen but no surprise if he got it right back over obstacles. Visored first time.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par13/0630/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par29/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 2m 1f 162y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 27%13/06Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%29/07Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%13/08Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%1/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.6%Ahead 1/4
4
8
OR 77
13/2
Hawa Jumeirah silks

Mr K A Nelmes

Hawa Jumeirah

5yo Gelding · 10-12

Universal - One Minute (Kodiac)

Paul O'Brien60%0/4Mrs H R J Nelmes
558336
4.0
Tongue strap

Modest middle-distance winner on Flat. Placed twice over hurdles at Newton Abbot this summer before a lesser effort at that venue a month ago. This mark is within range but yard struggling for winners.

Class Advantage

9/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/046/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par3/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 1f 162y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 33%9/04Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 36%3/06Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 82%13/07Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 44%22/08
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.0%Ahead 4/4
3
4
OR 78
5/1
Guinness Lad silks

Mr P Magee

Guinness Lad

6yo Gelding · 10-13

Berkshire - Never Again (Jeremy)

James Bowen60%0/1N P Mulholland
75608
5.0
Hood

Well held in bumper and similar story having proved headstrong over hurdles in 2024/25. Raced exclusively on Flat since, finally off the mark at Windsor in June.

Class Advantage

28/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/01 · mark par28/0123/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 2m 1f 162y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%28/01Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 93%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%1/06Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 83%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 30%20/07Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%17/08
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.5%Ahead 1/4
7
5
OR 73
11/1
No Mean Feat silks

P C F Racing Ltd

No Mean Feat

7yo Gelding · 10-8

Milan - Steel Lady (Gamut)

James Davies70%0/3S Hodgson60%
34P464
5.0
Cheek pieces

Remains a maiden but down to a basement level and 2 fourth-place finishes in the spring confirm he's competitive. Has had a breathing operation ahead of return.

Class Advantage

30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/0824/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par26/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par28/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par22/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par6/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par6/05projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 2m 1f 162y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%30/08Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%26/12Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 44%22/04Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%6/05
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.6%Ahead 2/4
2
6
OR 83
13/2
Lady Fortune silks

Mr M Edwards

Lady Fortune

6yo Mare · 11-4

Soldier Of Fortune - Topless (Presenting)

Isabelle Ryder60%2/4−5lbF Brennan60%
5P1410
5.0
1st Hood +1Tongue strap

Narrowly landed a gamble following a breathing operation/break at Market Rasen (2½m) in late-May and resumed winning ways under change of tactics on stable debut at Uttoxeter in July. Race 11 days later may have come too soon and a hood is now back on.

Class Advantage

16/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0313/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par26/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 2m 1f 162y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 14%16/03Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%28/05Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%15/07Pos 10 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 10 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 10%26/07
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.8%Ahead 2/4
6
9
OR 75
66/1
Major Major silks

Mr G Woods

Major Major

6yo Gelding · 10-10

Iffraaj - Spinaminnie (Moss Vale)

Tom Cannon60%Cynthia Woods80%
575798
2.0
Blinkers1st Tongue Strap +2

Modest 3-time winner on Flat for Richard Hannon (stays 1½m) but yet to trouble the judge in this sphere and hopes now pinned on breathing operation back from 5 months off.

Class Advantage

1/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/1229/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/03 · mark par5/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par23/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par23/04projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 2m 1f 162y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 43%1/12Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 33%23/02Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%5/04Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 13%23/04
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.0%Ahead 3/4