15:34 · Perth

Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle

2m 7f 207yGoing TBCClass 54YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
4
OR 90
5/1
Reflection Of You silks

Mr Gerry McGladery

7yo Mare · 11-1

Jack Hobbs - Gold Reef (Double Trigger)

Gregor Walkingshaw−10lbL Russell & M Scudamore60%
353P13
7.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Point/bumper winner who made successful switch to hurdling (had been chasing) at Musselburgh in December. Sound third back there 6 weeks later and while off the track since, she's in very capable hands.

Class Advantage

21/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par21/0315/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par24/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par21/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/10 · mark par22/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/12 · mark par1/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/02 · mark par1/02projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 207y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%21/03Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%24/09Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%22/12Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 71%1/02
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.3%Ahead 2/4
4
2
OR 100
8/1
Maillot Blanc silks

Kinneston Racing

9yo Gelding · 11-11

Sulamani - Santoria (Limnos)

Dominic Hislop60%1/6−7lbN W Alexander
28321P
9.0Class ↓3

Successful over C&D last summer and off the mark for 2026 when dead-heating at Kelso in May. Can't have been right when pulled up back here a month later and off since.

Class Advantage

25/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/09 · mark par25/098/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/11 · mark par28/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/11 · mark par2/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/04 · mark par22/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/04 · mark par6/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par6/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 207y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 25%25/09Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 30%28/11Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 89%22/04Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%6/05
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.2%Ahead 3/4
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 102
4/1
Way Maker silks

Harry Redknapp And Martin Gowing

5yo Gelding · 11-13

Walk In The Park - Carrigeen Kigelia (Presenting)

James Bowen60%0/6M Bowen70%
32U322
8.0Going 10.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Dual bumper scorer who ran to a fair level on second hurdles start when runner-up in a Southwell maiden in June. Rather expensive to follow since, his jumping an issue but step up in trip will suit and this opening mark really should be within range.

Class Advantage

21/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/0314/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par15/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par9/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 207y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 47%21/03Pos 3 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 3 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 75%2/06Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%15/08Pos 2 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 75%9/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.9%Ahead 1/4
1
3
OR 103
10/1
Wee Alki silks

Naughty But Nice

7yo Gelding · 12-0

Alkaadhem - Springfield Spirit (Bishop Of Cashel)

Nathan Moscrop60%1/9S Corbett70%
P2216P
6.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Registered his second win at Hexham in 15-runner handicap in May, running on well for pressure. Seemingly unsuited by track when a bit below that level at Cartmel but looked temperamental back at winning venue in June and he's never been one for maximum faith.

Class Advantage

7/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/11 · mark par7/1122/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/01 · mark par19/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/03 · mark par10/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/04 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par27/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par27/05projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 207y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%7/11Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 83%19/03Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%2/05Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 44%27/05
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.3%Ahead 2/4
7
5
OR 96
5/1
Steps In The Sand silks

Zoom Buddies Syndicate

7yo Mare · 11-7

Footstepsinthesand - Tu Eres Mi Amore (Sadler's Wells)

S Bowen80%Ciaran Murphy70%
843427
3.0

Benefited from the step back up in trip when a ½-length second of 16 in handicap hurdle at Bellewstown (2½m) in August, collared only late by an unexposed rival. Fitted with cheekpieces and way she shaped at Kilbeggan since suggests she's worth a go at this trip.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par13/0612/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par31/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par6/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par26/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par3/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move4
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 207y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 77%13/06Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 41%31/07Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 93%26/08Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%3/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.0%Ahead 3/4
5
8
OR 100
10/1
Jetovango silks

Mr David Carr And Mr Keith Fitzsimons

7yo Gelding · 11-11

Ocovango - Jet Mistress (Brian Boru)

Harry Reed60%T Davidson60%
0304P3
4.0
Cheek pieces

Seemed to run massively above himself when third of 14 in a maiden chase fitted with cheekpieces at Wexford in June. Definite scope from this mark back hurdling on that form and he's since made an interesting stable switch. Shortlisted back up in distance.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/064/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par30/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 207y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 29%8/06Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 31%4/07Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 78%9/08Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%25/08Pos 3 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 85%30/06
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +48.3%Ahead 3/4
3
9
OR 102
6/1
Broken Ice silks

John McConnell

10yo Gelding · 11-13

Born To Sea - Ice Box (Pivotal)

Alex Harvey60%1/7J C McConnell
485035
4.0Class ↓4
Tongue strap

Back to form with third over C&D last month. Confirmed he's not as good over fences these days when never a factor at Kilbeggan last month but this is easier back in Britain and returned to smaller obstacles.

Class Advantage

3/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/03 · mark par3/032/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par27/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par14/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par21/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 207y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 63%3/03Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 69%27/05Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%15/08Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 69%21/08
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.2%Ahead 2/4
8
7
OR 95
6/1
Secret Secret silks

The Secrets

10yo Gelding · 11-6

Born To Sea - Maughami (Manduro)

Leah Noreci60%−7lbJames Moffatt
545353
5.0
Tongue strap

Cartmel regular, adding to his haul in July 2025. Rather in-and-out since and he tends to struggle away from that venue these days.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par25/0527/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par28/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par31/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 207y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%25/05Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%28/06Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 64%29/08Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%31/08
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.2%Ahead 1/4
6
6
OR 98
12/1
Dalileo silks

Thp Racing & D A Harrison Racing

11yo Gelding · 11-9

Galileo - Snow Queen (Danehill Dancer)

Peter Kavanagh3/27Miss L Harrison
731178
5.0

Course regular, winning back-to-back C&D handicaps in July. Looked anchored by revised mark next time before turning in a shocker 17 days ago.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par13/057/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par12/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 207y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 40%13/05Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%2/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%15/08Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%7/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.8%Ahead 2/4