16:15 · Ripon

Jozef White Last Day Of Freedom Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m 4f 10yGoodClass 33YO plusTURF9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
3
4/1
Wadacre Icon silks

Wadacre Stud

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Nathaniel - In The Soup (Alphabet Soup)

Connor Beasley60%0/1C Johnston
2
8.0

Nathaniel gelding who shaped well when best of the rest behind a promising filly from the Karl Burke yard on his 11f Carlisle debut (good to soft) 17 days ago. Leading claims with improvement likely.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a9/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 1m 4f 10y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 91%9/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +90.9%Ahead 1/1
10
2
OR 79
2/1
Walking On Stars silks

Gestuet Schlenderhan Gmbh U Co Kg

3yo Filly · 8-13

Sea The Stars - Walkaway (Adlerflug)

L Morris70%0/2Sir Mark Prescott
5422
5.0

Improving Sea The Stars filly who has shaped well when runner-up to promising sorts on all-weather on her last 2 outings. A prominent showing is likely tackling turf for the first time.

Class Advantage

23/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/0730/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/0713/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a13/083/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 1m 4f 10y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 64%23/07Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%30/07Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 88%13/08Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%3/09
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.7%Ahead 2/4
8
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 77
1/1
Koala Rose silks

Tony Bloom & Ian McAleavy

3yo Filly · 8-13

Australia - Summer Surprice (Le Havre)

Jason Hart60%R M Beckett60%
33223
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Fairly useful maiden. Didn't fully convince with her stamina for 2m when third of 5 in handicap at Newmarket (good to firm) 51 days ago. Considered back down in trip for a leading stable with a good record in this race.

Class Advantage

20/12 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/1216/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par6/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par6/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 40%Dist: 1m 4f 10y · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 75%20/12Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%16/05Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 89%19/06Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%17/07Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%6/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.0%Ahead 1/4
4
7
66/1
Going To Graceland silks

Kingsley Park Owners Club

3yo Colt · 9-4

Sioux Nation - Grace Note (Swiss Spirit)

Rowan Scott60%C Johnston
84
3.0Going 8.0

Two outings on all-weather at Lingfield 8 months apart, running to more than a modest level when fourth of 7 over 1¼m latterly. Up in trip. Wadacre Icon looks the stable first string.

Class Advantage

17/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/1225/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 1m 4f 10y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%17/12Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%25/08
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.5%Ahead 1/2
9
4
OR 74
20/1
Neswick silks

Mrs M E Wates

3yo Filly · 8-13

Cable Bay - Kelamita (Pivotal)

D C CostelloM P Tregoning
343
5.0Going 8.0

Fair form in 3 maiden/novice events at up to 1½m but will need to pull out a bit more to land a first success here.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/0413/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a13/0827/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a27/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 1m 4f 10y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 82%27/04Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 63%13/08Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%27/08
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.8%Ahead 2/3
3
5
28/1
Emtinan silks

February Syndicate & Westminster Racin

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Lope De Vega - Khayzaraan (Kingman)

T EavesS C Williams80%
5P
3.0Class ↓1

Promising debut fifth of 8 in maiden at York (2m, good) on debut last October. Pulled up lame at Newcastle the following month. Sold out of the Charlie Hills stable for 45,000 gns in April. Joined a good yard but the betting is the best guide to expectations.

Class Advantage

11/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 1m 4f 10y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 43%11/10
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.8%Ahead 0/1
1
6
50/1
Who's The Goat silks

Mr & Mrs I P Earnshaw

6yo Gelding · 9-11

Decorated Knight - Jeunesse Doree (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Aiden Brookes0/2Micky Hammond
34
5.0

Has more than hinted at ability in maidens at Pontefract (1½m, good to firm) and Redcar (1m, good) since belatedly making it to the track but possibly more one for handicaps down the line.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a29/069/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 1m 4f 10y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%29/06Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 63%9/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +48.4%Ahead 2/2
2
8
20/1
Chico Dorado silks

Mrs H Kelly

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Golden Horn - Harbour Of Hope (Monsun)

O J Orr60%0/1L Russell & M Scudamore
5
2.0

66/1, showed ability with fifth of 12 in maiden at Carlisle (11f, good to soft) on debut 17 days ago but Wadacre Icon was over 4 lengths ahead in second.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a9/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 1m 4f 10y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 64%9/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +63.6%Ahead 1/1
5
9
66/1
Medran silks

Mr Grant Tuer

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Starman - Roseisarose (Acclamation)

Oliver StammersGrant Tuer60%
No form3.0Going 8.0

Starman gelding. Closely related to winner up to 1¼m Jack Rose and half-brother to 3 winners, including 11.5f/1½m winner Hooves Like Jagger. Best watched on debut unless the betting suggests otherwise.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish9th of 90% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%