14:00 · Newmarket

Tattersalls Middle Park Stakes (Group 1)

6fGood to FirmClass 12YO onlyTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 109
6/4
Inner City Blues silks

Godolphin

2yo Colt · 9-2

Blue Point - Dancin Inthestreet (Muhaarar)

W Buick70%2/2C Appleby70%
11
9.0

€900,000 breeze-up purchase who fully confirmed the promise of his debut win at York when following up in 3-runner Group 2 on the July Course 79 days ago, readily beating the Coventry runner-up. Still not the finished article and he looks the one to beat.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a13/069/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 50%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%13/06Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%9/07
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.4%Ahead 2/2
3
4
OR 101
33/1
Hell Of A Spin silks

Phillipa Griffin And Partner

2yo Colt · 9-2

Naval Crown - Shamankiyna (Azamour)

Mikey Sheehy60%0/3A Keatley
2133
7.0

Hamilton maiden winner who excelled himself up in class when third in Group 3 Molecomb at Glorious Goodwood and confirmed that was no fluke when filling the same position in the Gimcrack at York. Will do very well to place in this, though.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a27/0611/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/0729/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/0721/08 · C0 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 25%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 80%27/06Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%11/07Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 80%29/07Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 78%21/08
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +47.3%Ahead 4/4
1
2
OR 101
25/1
Confucius silks

Westerberg/magnier/tabor/smith/brant

2yo Colt · 9-2

No Nay Never - Millisle (Starspangledbanner)

Tom Marquand70%A P O'Brien70%
21633
5.0Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3

Decisive winner of a Naas maiden on second start and he progressed further when sixth in the Coventry at Royal Ascot. However, hasn't scaled same heights in finishing third in pair of Curragh Group contests subsequently. Headgear on.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/049/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a27/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par18/07 · C0 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 60%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 86%3/04Pos 1 · SP 1/5 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/5 | Actual: 100%9/05Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 75%16/06Pos 3 · SP 1/3 | Expected: 98%Pos 3 · SP 1/3 | Actual: 50%27/06Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 67%18/07
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.3%Ahead 0/4
7
5
4/1
Push The Boat Out silks

Ace Stud

2yo Colt · 9-2

Kodi Bear - Brief Angel (Dark Angel)

Shane Foley60%M O'Callaghan
11
8.0

Beat fellow newcomer Marco Polo when making a winning debut in 19-runner maiden at the Curragh in August and took a big step forward when edging out Coventry winner Great Barrier Reef (who was returning from 10 weeks off) in Group 3 there later in the month. Looks well worth a crack at this level.

Class Advantage

9/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0829/08 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 50%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%9/08Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%29/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +64.5%Ahead 2/2
6
3
OR 110
7/2
Orthodox silks

Mr J Goddard

2yo Colt · 9-2

Havana Grey - Heartwarming (Showcasing)

Rossa Ryan70%2/3C G Cox
116
6.0

Justified market support for a Salisbury maiden on debut before following up in impressive fashion in the 21-runner Norfolk at Royal Ascot. Not in the same form in the Prix Morny at Deauville 10 weeks later but big player if bouncing back.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a14/0520/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/0623/08 · C0 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 33%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%14/05Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%20/06Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 17%23/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.3%Ahead 2/3
5
7
9/2
Marco Polo silks

Tabor/smith/magnier/westerberg/brant

2yo Colt · 9-2

Night Of Thunder - Swiss Air (Oasis Dream)

R L Moore60%0/1A P O'Brien
281
5.0

Chased home fellow newcomer Push The Boat Out in maiden at the Curragh. All the rage for the Gimcrack at York but still looked very raw when well held. Got back on track when easily landing the odds back in a maiden at Cork and he remains with plenty of potential.

Class Advantage

9/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0821/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/089/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲5
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 33%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 94%9/08Pos 8 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 8 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 22%21/08Pos 1 · SP 1/8 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/8 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.1%Ahead 1/3
2
6
OR 94
28/1
Force Noir silks

AMO Racing Limited

2yo Colt · 9-2

Persian Force - Princess Rose (Royal Applause)

D Egan60%1/3Robson Aguiar
2101
5.0

Confirmed debut promise when clear-cut winner of maiden at Naas. Did too much too soon in first-time blinkers when down the field in the Norfolk at Royal Ascot on sole run for Kevin Philippart De Foy but resumed progress when winning at Dundalk last week. Much more needed again, though.

Class Advantage

15/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0327/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0420/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/0618/09 · C9 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲6
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 25%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 83%15/03Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%27/04Pos 17 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 17 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 20%20/06Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%18/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.3%Ahead 2/4