14:05 · Ayr

Ladbrokes 'New Customers Get 50/1 Old Firm Offer' Firth Of Clyde (Fillies' Group 3)

6fGoing TBCClass 12YO onlyTURF9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Market Fav4
OR 97
7/4
Silent Beauty silks

AMO Racing Limited

2yo Filly · 9-2

Night Of Thunder - No Speak Alexander (Shalaa)

D Egan60%2/3K P De Foy
101
7.0Going 8.0

€1,000,000 yearling who impressed when winning on debut at Yarmouth in May but flopped in the Albany at Royal Ascot in June. Bounced back to win a listed race by 3 lengths at Ripon 19 days ago, once more looking a smart prospect, and she looks the most exciting runner on show.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/0519/06 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a19/0631/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%13/05Pos 23 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 23 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 8%19/06Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.8%Ahead 2/3
3
Top Pick1
OR 97
5/2
Dark Issue silks

Mrs E Roberts

2yo Filly · 9-2

Dark Angel - Long Ridge Road (Ribchester)

Tom Marquand70%R Hannon60%
1482
6.0Going 8.0

Confirmed her fourth in the Albany at Royal Ascot when second of 11 in a Group 3 at Salisbury on good to soft going 16 days ago, travelling well and only just edged out. Major player in this company.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a23/0519/06 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a19/0625/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/073/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%23/05Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 88%19/06Pos 8 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 8 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 30%25/07Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 90%3/09
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.5%Ahead 3/4
6
5
OR 95
6/1
Ruby Moon silks

Mrs Richard Henry

2yo Filly · 9-2

No Nay Never - Ruby Shield (War Front)

O J Orr1/2R A Fahey60%
149
4.0

Won at Carlisle and then improved to finish fourth behind 3 subsequent winners in a Group 2 at Newmarket in July. Underperformed at York on soft going last time so would appreciate any drying of the ground but she's a player if coping with conditions given same connections won this race last year.

Class Advantage

24/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/0610/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0720/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%24/06Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 57%10/07Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%20/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.9%Ahead 3/3
4
Value2
OR 92
8/1
Etonnante silks

Mrs Anne Marie Hayes

2yo Filly · 9-2

Havana Grey - Porcelaine (Kodiac)

C Lee70%2/3K R Burke60%
171
7.0

Won 4-runner novice at Haydock 15 days ago following a breathing operation but had found pattern company beyond her back in July so may prove vulnerable again.

Class Advantage

28/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/0510/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/074/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%28/05Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 14%10/07Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 100%4/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.7%Ahead 2/3
1
6
OR 77
25/1
Angel In My Heart silks

Mrs Breda Keatley

2yo Filly · 9-2

Harry Angel - Voler Mon Coeur (Kodiac)

Mikey Sheehy60%0/1A Keatley
4122
6.0Going 8.0

Off the mark at Pontefract in July and was a good second of 11 in a nursery at Doncaster 9 days ago, finishing fast. Plenty more required stepping into Group 3 company now, though.

Class Advantage

8/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/0717/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/0720/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/0810/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move3
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 40%8/07Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%17/07Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%20/08Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 90%10/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.3%Ahead 4/4
9
9
OR 82
10/1
Starburster silks

Phil Cunningham

2yo Filly · 9-2

Starman - Energetic Company (Fast Company)

Saffie Osborne70%1/2R Spencer
41
7.0

Fourth on debut at Windsor in June before narrowly winning a maiden at Newbury 24 days ago. The form of her win has been strengthened by the second winning since but faces a big step up to Group 3 company here.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/0626/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%8/06Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%26/08
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.9%Ahead 2/2
5
3
OR 81
20/1
Nour silks

Mr Mohamed Saeed Al Shehhi

2yo Filly · 9-2

Dandy Man - Neesaan (New Approach)

S H James70%K R Burke60%
3316
4.0

Progressive filly who came third at York in July before winning an all-weather nursery at Southwell 23 days ago, hanging right. Sixth of 8 on here on Friday.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/0525/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a25/0727/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/0818/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%26/05Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%25/07Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%27/08Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%18/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.4%Ahead 1/4
8
8
OR 87
16/1
Silesia silks

Mrs Angie Bailey

2yo Filly · 9-2

Zoustar - Moravia (Siyouni)

T EavesK A Ryan
32325
5.0Going 9.0

Twice placed in maidens but still seeking first win from 5 starts. Produced best effort when fifth of 11 in a listed race at York 28 days ago faced with softer ground but this step up to Group 3 level demands an awful lot more.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/044/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a24/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par22/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%18/04Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 75%4/05Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 71%30/05Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 75%24/06Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 60%22/08
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.0%Ahead 2/4
2
7
OR 87
16/1
Angels Passing silks

Brook T Smith Investments, Llc

2yo Filly · 9-2

No Nay Never - Desert Blossom (Shamardal)

K Stott70%1/3K A Ryan
410
4.0

Off the mark in a weak 3-runner maiden in June but struggled when tenth of 17 in a Group 2 at York 30 days ago. Likely to prove out of her depth once more.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a15/054/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/0620/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%15/05Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%4/06Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 44%20/08
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.0%Ahead 3/3