22:12 · Presque Isle Downs

Race 7 - Allowance

1m 70y3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 92
3/1
Outsider silks

Randall Russell

5yo Gelding · 8-11

Outwork - Dr Megann (Lion Heart)

Gaddiel Martinez60%4/12Randall Russell60%
782133
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/083/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par7/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par18/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%15/08Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 75%7/07Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%18/08Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%7/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.0%Ahead 2/4
2
2
OR 91
7/2
Triple Start silks

Clair Walker

6yo Gelding · 8-11

American Pharoah - Just Reward (Deputy Minister)

Walber Alencar60%5/12John Fennessy60%
211122
8.0

Class Advantage

3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par3/0622/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par22/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par4/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par18/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%3/06Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%22/07Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 88%18/08Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.6%Ahead 4/4
1
3
OR 94
4/1
Classic Nofty silks

Hnr Nothhaft Horse Racing Llc

3yo Gelding · 8-7

Classic Empire - Move (Silver Train)

Antonio Gallardo60%1/1Phil Schoenthal60%
491453
6.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

12/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par12/0318/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par15/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par29/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par27/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par14/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par14/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%12/03Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%15/05Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%27/06Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%14/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.2%Ahead 2/4
7
5
OR 87
6/1
Diver silks

Warrior's Reward, Llc, Romar, Llc And Flat Out Racing

5yo Gelding · 8-13

Speightstown - Tapping Pearl (Tapit)

Rosario Montanez60%Brandon Kulp60%
212221
7.0

Class Advantage

20/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/10 · mark par20/1025/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par9/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par15/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par14/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 80%20/10Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%9/06Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%17/08Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%14/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.5%Ahead 2/4
4
7
OR 80
10/1
Freestate silks

Juan Arriagada

3yo Gelding · 8-7

Caravaggio - Freedom (War Front)

Israel Rodriguez60%0/2Juan Arriagada60%
346712
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/0819/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par25/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par11/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below11/12 · mark par29/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 75%29/08Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 55%25/10Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%29/07Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%1/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.8%Ahead 3/4
3
4
OR 92
10/1
Happy Prince silks

Shagbark Farm Llc

3yo Gelding · 8-9

Cairo Prince - Happy Motoring (Harlan's Holiday)

Taylor Kingsley60%1/1−7lbRyan Walsh
334031
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

15/11 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/11 · mark par15/1129/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/11 · mark par4/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/01 · mark par31/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par12/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%15/11Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 73%4/01Pos 10 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 10 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 10%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 71%12/07Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%8/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.9%Ahead 2/4
6
6
OR 87
9/2
Forum silks

Imagine Racing

3yo Colt · 8-7

Improbable - Karakorum Elektra (Freud)

Chelsey Keiser60%0/1David Wolochuk60%
215680
3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

29/09 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a29/0926/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/10 · mark par12/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%29/09Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%26/10Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%12/05Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 13%4/07Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 10%29/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.2%Ahead 3/4