18:13 · Churchill Downs

Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight

1mGoing TBC2YO onlyTURF14 runners
Ordered by projected finish
13
Top Pick1
OR 71
10/1
Placing Blame silks

Dare To Dream Stable, Llc (michael Faber)

2yo Filly · 8-7

Olympiad - Chiding (Blame)

Luis Saez60%Christophe Davis80%
66
3.0Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

22/08 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a22/086/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 44%22/08Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%6/09
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.9%Ahead 2/2
11
4
OR 86
7/2
Goose Quill silks

D J Stable LLC

2yo Filly · 8-7

Constitution - Smartly Agree (Smart Strike)

Luis Saez60%Mark Casse
5
2.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a29/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%29/08
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +44.2%Ahead 1/1
3
6
3/1
Less Talking silks

Hetrich Iii, Frederick W And Fielding, John D

2yo Filly · 8-7

Justify - Dance Awhile (Curlin)

Jose Ortiz60%Chad Brown
No form3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish3rd of 1485% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength84%
2
3
6/1
Notgonnacatchher silks

William Werner

2yo Filly · 8-7

Not This Time - Duchess Of Dubai (Sea The Stars)

Victor CarrascoBrian Lynch
No form3.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish4th of 1477% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength68%
9
Value2
15/1
Novo Mesto silks

Durrett Stables Llc

2yo Filly · 8-7

Practical Joke - Durga Devi (Galileo)

Francisco Arrieta60%Eddie Kenneally
No form3.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish5th of 1469% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength21%
12
10
9/2
Camphor silks

Belladonna Racing Llc, Determined Stables, Twin Brook Stables And B C W T , Ltd

2yo Filly · 8-7

Twirling Candy - Laurier (Scat Daddy)

Jose Ortiz60%Cherie Devaux
No form3.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish6th of 1462% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength76%
4
5
OR 74
20/1
Mood Spin silks

Robert Masterson

2yo Filly · 8-7

Hard Spun - Salad Mood (Malibu Moon)

Martin Garcia60%0/1Norm Casse
55
3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a20/069/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%20/06Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%9/08
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.4%Ahead 1/2
8
9
8/1
Speedbird silks

Concorde Racing Club Llc

2yo Filly · 8-7

Omaha Beach - Southern Chick (Super Saver)

Cristian Torres60%George Arnold60%
No form3.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish8th of 1446% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength58%
5
Market Fav11
OR 85
5/2
Cyber Gal silks

Terminus Racing

2yo Filly · 8-7

Cyberknife - Speightstown Gal (Cairo Prince)

Jaime Torres60%0/1Riley Mott
72
2.0

Class Advantage

18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a18/07
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%18/07
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -29.8%Ahead 0/1
6
7
OR 76
10/1
Cruising Again silks

Baron Thoroughbreds, Llc

2yo Filly · 8-7

Charlatan - Rose Grey (The Factor)

Gerardo Corrales60%Dale Romans
46
3.0

Class Advantage

18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a18/0729/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%18/07Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 38%29/08
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -38.5%Ahead 0/2
7
13
8/1
Kiplin silks

Milam Farm, Llc

2yo Filly · 8-7

Essential Quality - Penny Saver (Super Saver)

Brian Jr Hernandez60%Kenneth McPeek
No form3.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish11th of 1423% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength58%
1
8
OR 79
8/1
Lady Carmen silks

Allric Ltd And Sierra Fria Farm, Llc

2yo Filly · 8-7

War Front - Lady's Quest (Rainbow Quest)

Edgar Morales60%Michel Douaihy
47
4.0

Class Advantage

31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a31/0730/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 73%31/07Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%30/08
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.1%Ahead 1/2
10
12
OR 72
12/1
Make It Skate silks

Bal Mar Equine, Llc

2yo Filly · 8-7

Vekoma - Moon Meeting Too (Malibu Moon)

Tyler Gaffalione60%Brendan Walsh
7
2.0

Class Advantage

22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a22/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%22/08
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.6%Ahead 0/1
14
14
OR 39
30/1
Lexi's Epic Ride silks

Julia Robinson

2yo Filly · 8-7

Epicenter - No Sweat (Blame)

Luan MachadoDonnie Von Hemel
0
2.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

9/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a9/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 10%9/08
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.0%Ahead 1/1