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13:40 · Goodwood

Heineken Handicap

1mGoing TBCClass 24YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
2
OR 91
7/2
Storm Star silks

Mr J C Smith

Storm Star

5yo Gelding · 9-3

Night Of Thunder - Dancing Star (Aqlaam)

Oisin Murphy70%1/3A M Balding90%
602085
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Has recorded all 4 wins on all-weather at Newcastle but was a good second on turf at Ascot (1m, good to firm) in May. Creditable fifth of 17 in handicap at Doncaster (1m, good) 11 days ago. Eased another 2 lb and capable of a bold bid under Oisin Murphy.

Class Advantage

7/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/02 · mark par7/023/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par1/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par18/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par14/08 · C3 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%7/02Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 90%1/05Pos 15 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 48%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 22%14/08Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 75%12/09
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.9%Ahead 3/4
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 92
3/1
Tribal Chief silks

All For One Racing (ii)

Tribal Chief

5yo Gelding · 9-4

Sioux Nation - Araca (Elusive Quality)

W Buick70%D Menuisier60%
733606
4.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Shaped well when third in Lincoln at Doncaster (1m, good) and Victoria Cup at Ascot (7f, good to firm) this spring but has ruined his chance with slow starts since. More than capable off this mark if breaking on terms but comes with obvious risks.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par18/1028/03 · C2 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par9/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par4/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par31/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par29/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 68%18/10Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 93%9/05Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 12 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 12 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 35%31/07Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%29/08
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.9%Ahead 2/4
7
5
OR 85
6/1
Darkness silks

Akela Thoroughbreds Limited

Darkness

8yo Gelding · 8-11

Siyouni - Kerila (Makfi)

Saffie Osborne70%0/1D O'Meara70%
000663
5.0
Visor

Won 7f course handicap last summer. Ran well off a slipping mark when sixth of 18 in the Golden Mile at the Glorious meeting and enough in latest Haydock third to think he's still in form. Considered under Saffie Osborne.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C3 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par16/0513/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par27/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par31/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par29/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par5/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 10%16/05Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 15%27/06Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%29/08Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%5/09
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +47.4%Ahead 4/4
4
3
OR 91
7/2
Oliver Show silks

Pompey Ventures 2

Oliver Show

6yo Gelding · 9-3

No Nay Never - Ashley Hall (Maria's Mon)

Jack Callan60%0/1G Boughey70%
004427
5.0
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

Losing run is mounting up but made the frame 3 times here this summer, including the Glorious meeting. Found his run of good form coming to a halt at Doncaster recently but his record here affords him respect.

Class Advantage

2/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a2/0118/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par22/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par29/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par30/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par13/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 15 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 18%2/01Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 77%22/05Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 84%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%30/08Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%13/09
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.9%Ahead 2/4
8
6
OR 83
10/1
Jimmy Speaking silks

Strawberry Fields Stud

Jimmy Speaking

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Territories - Ever After (High Chaparral)

S De Sousa60%2/12C A Dwyer
294482
5.0Going 8.0

Kickstarted 2026 with 7f wins at Doncaster and Southwell. Form levelled off over the summer but he was back on the up with a close second of 11 over 9f at Yarmouth (good) last month. Same mark today.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par16/055/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par6/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par21/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par16/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 91%16/05Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 53%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 50%18/07Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 53%21/08Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 90%16/09
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.9%Ahead 3/4
2
4
OR 96
14/1
Gun Carriage silks

The Artillery Lads

Gun Carriage

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Gun Runner - Special Event (Arch)

Rossa Ryan70%Dylan Cunha60%
206444
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Won a maiden at Killarney for Aidan O'Brien last spring and having been gelded, showed useful form for current yard in the UAE over the winter. Off 6 months ahead of this first start in Britain.

Class Advantage

26/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par26/0912/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a13/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a13/03projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%26/09Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 90%Pos 11 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 11 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 33%9/01Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%30/01Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 63%13/03
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.4%Ahead 1/4
6
7
OR 86
10/1
Racingbreaks Ryder silks

Cottier, Racing Breaks & Old Gold Raci

Racingbreaks Ryder

6yo Gelding · 8-12

Fast Company - Nisma (Montjeu)

Tom Marquand70%0/1C Hills
381183
5.0

Back-to-back wins on all-weather at Newcastle (1m) and Kempton (7f) this summer. Well held on the hat-trick bid back at Kempton but wasted no time showing he's still in form when third of 9 at Ripon (1m, soft) 23 days ago.

Class Advantage

28/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/10 · mark par28/106/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par26/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par12/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par19/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par31/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%28/10Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%26/06Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 13%19/08Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%31/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.7%Ahead 3/4
1
8
OR 97
10/1
Two Tempting silks

Berkeley Racing

Two Tempting

7yo Gelding · 9-9

New Bay - Dangle (Desert Style)

Rob Hornby2/26J G Portman
233040
3.0Class ↓1

Very useful handicapper who has made the frame 4 times this year but needs to shrug off a lesser effort at Kempton 18 days ago.

Class Advantage

1/01 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/01 · mark par1/017/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/02 · mark par7/03 · C2 · finish vs mark above7/03 · mark par31/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%1/01Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 82%7/03Pos 17 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 6%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%22/08Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 31%5/09
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.4%Ahead 3/4