13:10 · Haydock

William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap

5fHeavy (Soft in places)Class 23YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 89
9/4
Trilby silks

Tip Your Hat Partnership

6yo Gelding · 9-5

Twilight Son - Fascinator (Helmet)

P J McDonald4/10S England70%
104126
6.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Rejuvenated by fitting of cheekpieces this season and notched a third success at Beverley (5f) in August. Posted another very good effort when sixth of 23 in Silver Cup at Ayr (6f, heavy) a week ago, coming home second in his group. This 4-time course winner seems sure to go well again.

Class Advantage

9/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par9/0625/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par29/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par19/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places) · 50%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%9/06Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 73%11/08Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 88%5/09Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 77%19/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.2%Ahead 3/4
3
2
OR 94
5/1
King Of Light silks

TJE Racing

4yo Gelding · 9-10

Mehmas - On The Stage (Swiss Spirit)

D Tudhope60%S C Williams80%
078605
3.0Class ↓1

Took this 12 months ago and doubled his tally for present stable at Windsor (6f) in June. Back to form with fifth of 21 in Portland at Doncaster (5.5f, good) 2 weeks ago. Merits consideration once more eased 1 lb.

Class Advantage

11/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par11/0725/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par10/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places)Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 15 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%11/07Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 73%1/08Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 14 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 14 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 32%22/08Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 80%12/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.0%Ahead 3/4
9
5
OR 83
11/1
Stargazed silks

Clipper

3yo Filly · 8-12

Zoustar - Beyond Desire (Invincible Spirit)

S H James70%K R Burke80%
520878
2.0Class ↓1

A fair 5f winner at 2 yrs who resumed with a very good second at York in May. Below that form since though, tried in a visor when eighth of 19 in handicap at York (5f, good) last month. This slow starter is not easy to make a case for.

Class Advantage

31/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/0815/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par19/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par25/07 · C3 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par19/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places) · 17%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%31/08Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 94%Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 58%19/06Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 42%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%25/07Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 61%19/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.3%Ahead 2/4
10
4
OR 83
11/1
Elara May silks

Mr P J McBride

3yo Filly · 8-12

Bated Breath - Manatiya (Redoute's Choice)

Ashley Lewis60%0/1−3lbP J McBride
148423
6.0Class ↓1

A 4-time 5f winner at 2 yrs. Lightly raced this season but as good as ever when placed in handicaps at Yarmouth (5f) and over C&D recently. Well in the mix off the same mark.

Class Advantage

9/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/10 · mark par9/1031/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/10 · mark par17/07 · C3 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par21/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par30/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places) · 17%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%9/10Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%17/07Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%30/08Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%5/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.4%Ahead 3/4
4
7
OR 90
7/2
Ancient State silks

Mr D Morgan

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Dandy Man - No More Thrills (Dutch Art)

Callum Rodriguez60%1/2Adam Kirby60%
115521
7.0
Tongue strap

Continues on the up and more settled (usual eyeshields left off) when notching a fourth success of the season in 16-runner handicap at Doncaster (5f, good to firm) 13 days ago. Up 5 lb but this likeable sort merits serious consideration once more.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/0627/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par27/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par13/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places)Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%19/06Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 64%10/07Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%15/08Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%13/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.8%Ahead 4/4
11
3
OR 82
12/1
Boston Dan silks

The Wolf Pack 2 And Partner

3yo Colt · 8-11

Ardad - Blondikova (Pivotal)

Sean Kirrane60%0/2T D Easterby60%
047010
5.0Class ↓1
Tongue strap

Useful 5f winner at 2 yrs for Richard Fahey. Bounced back to form in first-time tongue tie to score over C&D in September but only sixteenth of 24 in Bronze Cup at Ayr (6f, soft) 8 days ago. More is required.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/0625/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par3/08 · C3 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par19/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par18/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places) · 33%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%27/06Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%3/08Pos 15 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%4/09Pos 16 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 16 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 35%18/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.6%Ahead 2/4
1
6
OR 96
12/1
Fandom silks

Volare Aviation Ltd

5yo Gelding · 9-12

Showcasing - Brogan (Pivotal)

S M Levey70%1/6R Hannon80%
043030
4.0Class ↓2

A 3-time winner in the US earlier in his career. Returned to his best when successful at Thirsk (6f) in May. Good third at Ascot (5f) in August and raced in unfavoured centre at Goodwood (6f, soft) last time. Weighted to go well off an easing mark.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par20/0629/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par11/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par8/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par30/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places) · 17%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 54%20/06Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 86%11/07Pos 24 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 24 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 12%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%8/08Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%30/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.6%Ahead 3/4
7
10
OR 86
17/2
Hucklesbrook silks

Rae And Carol Borras

4yo Gelding · 9-2

Aclaim - Tumblewind (Captain Rio)

Joanna Mason1/2R A Teal
584803
4.0

A useful 3-time 6f winner. Second run back from a breathing operation when a resurgent third of 12 to Rhythm N Hooves in handicap at Newbury (5f, good to firm) last month. Very much one to consider nudged up 1 lb.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C2 · finish vs mark above26/11 · mark par26/1117/12 · C2 · finish vs mark above17/12 · mark par17/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par8/05 · C3 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par27/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par15/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places)Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%26/11Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 22%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%17/04Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%27/07Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 82%15/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.9%Ahead 2/4
6
8
OR 87
66/1
Jel Pepper silks

Mrs J Morley

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Inns Of Court - Kasalla (Footstepsinthesand)

Pierre-Louis Jamin60%S C Williams80%
466490
2.0Class ↓2
Hood

Scored twice in 2025 for Oliver Cole, including in sales race at Newmarket (7f) in October. Hasn't managed to kick on this season, though, and well held both runs for his new yard at Ascot and Doncaster.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par3/041/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par1/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par30/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par8/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places)Dist: 5f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%3/04Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 44%1/06Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%8/08Pos 19 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 10%12/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.2%Ahead 1/4
12
9
OR 70
20/1
Roach Power silks

Mrs A Tait & Jerry Stevens

7yo Gelding · 8-2

Ribchester - Evening Time (Keltos)

J F Egan60%2/9M Wigham60%
974070
3.0
Blinkers

Won 5 times over the minimum trip in 2025. Hasn't fired so far this season, though, and this course scorer looks opposable unless market speaks firmly in his favour.

Class Advantage

7/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par7/0522/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par8/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par6/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places)Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 11%7/05Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%8/06Pos 18 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 14%29/08Pos 19 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 10%6/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.5%Ahead 2/4