15:00 · Haydock

William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery

6f 212yHeavy (Soft in places)Class 42YO onlyTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
2
OR 78
13/2
Wolf Bay silks

Kingston Stud

2yo Colt · 9-3

Lope Y Fernandez - Triple Cee (Cape Cross)

David Probert70%A King60%
002
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Sent off 80/1 but much improved on his third run when second of 9 in novice at Windsor (6f, good to soft) 4 weeks ago. Not out of things upped in trip for his first go in handicap company.

Class Advantage

9/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0728/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/0729/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength59%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places)Dist: 6f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 41%9/07Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 36%28/07Pos 2 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 88%29/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +49.5%Ahead 3/3
1
Top Pick1
OR 84
11/2
Camarda Rc silks

Mr Gary Gillies

2yo Colt · 9-9

Masar - Compassionate (Charm Spirit)

S M Levey70%0/1R Hannon60%
12
8.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Really impressed when making a winning start in 7f novice at Epsom but failed to build on it when an odds-on second of 10 in novice at Windsor (1m, good to firm) last month, fading last 1f over longer trip. Well worth another chance back at 7f for his handicap debut.

Class Advantage

30/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/0724/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength29%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places)Dist: 6f 212y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%30/07Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 89%24/08
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.7%Ahead 1/2
4
4
OR 79
9/1
Mind Those Steps silks

Reality Partnerships Vii

2yo Colt · 9-4

Pinatubo - Spinatrix (Diktat)

Sean Kirrane60%T D Easterby70%
31003
5.0Class ↓2
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Opened his account in 6f Hamilton novice in May. Back on track in first-time cheekpieces when a staying-on third of 13 on nursery bow at Ayr (6f, soft) 8 days ago. Ought to be thereabouts with this longer trip a likely plus.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/0417/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par20/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par18/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places) · 20%Dist: 6f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%25/04Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%17/05Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 23%25/07Pos 20 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 20 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%20/08Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 83%18/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.2%Ahead 3/4
2
Market Fav3
OR 82
5/4
Mister Whippy silks

TBT Racing

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Starspangledbanner - Oh So True (American Pharoah)

K Shoemark60%0/1E Walker
424
6.0Class ↓2

Has shaped with promise when in the frame on all his 3 runs, making his effort earlier than ideal when fourth of 8 in novice at Goodwood (1m, soft) last time. A player now going into nurseries.

Class Advantage

23/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0715/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0830/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength81%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places) · 33%Dist: 6f 212y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 63%23/07Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 92%15/08Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 57%30/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.5%Ahead 2/3
6
5
OR 78
11/2
Kodiak Breeze silks

Hambleton Racing Ltd XXXVI

2yo Gelding · 9-3

Kodi Bear - Caryatid (Intello)

Shane Gray60%2/4K A Ryan
2110
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Showed a good attitude when making all in 6f novices at Redcar and Thirsk in early summer. Off 7 weeks, well held in valuable sales event at York (6f, soft) last month. 37 days ago. No surprise to see him bounce back on handicap debut.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a2/0518/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/051/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/0720/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places)Dist: 6f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 86%2/05Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%18/05Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%1/07Pos 17 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 16%20/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.3%Ahead 4/4
3
7
OR 80
15/2
Trumpety Trump silks

Mr James Mearns Long

2yo Colt · 9-5

Churchill - Asaatier (War Front)

Joanna MasonJ S Goldie
34217
5.0Class ↓2

Got off the mark at the fourth attempt in 6f nursery at Hamilton in September. Failed to back it up when seventh of 13 in similar company at Ayr (6f, soft) 8 days ago. Bounce back is required.

Class Advantage

5/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/0717/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a21/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par2/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par18/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places) · 40%Dist: 6f 212y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%5/07Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%17/07Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%21/08Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%2/09Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%18/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.2%Ahead 2/4
7
6
OR 70
16/1
Persian Land silks

Mr S W Banks

2yo Gelding · 8-9

Persian Force - Demesne (Dansili)

J F Egan60%0/1P D Evans60%
126720
5.0Going 8.0

Debut 6f novice winner here in May. Runner-up twice since but came in last of 11 in first-time cheekpieces in nursery at Chester (7f, heavy) a week ago. Has it to prove now.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a21/054/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par19/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Heavy (Soft in places) · 50%Dist: 6f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%21/05Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 75%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%16/06Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 88%11/09Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%19/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.0%Ahead 0/4