17:30 · Southwell

Download The At The Races App Fillies' Handicap

7f 14yStandardClass 43YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market Fav2
OR 82
7/4
Inside Story silks

Mr Saeed Manana

3yo Filly · 9-13

Siyouni - Second Glance (Galileo)

Rossa Ryan70%0/1J Tate60%
754822
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Opened her account at third time of asking here this time last year and has found improvement this season, finishing runner-up in back-to-back Wolverhampton handicaps (both 7f) in recent months. Likely player.

Class Advantage

31/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/10 · mark par31/104/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/03 · mark par12/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/05 · mark par16/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par31/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par18/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par18/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 67%31/10Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 63%12/05Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 88%31/07Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 88%18/08
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.1%Ahead 3/4
6
3
OR 78
10/3
Afraj silks

Sheikh Juma Dalmook Al Maktoum

3yo Filly · 9-9

Iffraaj - Sarshampla (Elzaam)

R Havlin60%J & T Gosden60%
13341
7.0Going 7.0

Much improved when narrowly taking 9-runner handicap at Kempton (7f, 11/1) 27 days ago by neck from Merry. Just 2 lb higher here and must be of interest on tapeta debut.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a26/115/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par22/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 40%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%26/11Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%5/06Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%25/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 25%22/07Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%26/08
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.7%Ahead 1/4
5
Top Pick1
OR 79
13/2
Merry silks

Hot To Trot Racing And R Mitchell

3yo Filly · 9-10

Zoustar - Hilary J (Mount Nelson)

Daniel Muscutt70%1/3James Horton
345212
6.0Going 8.0

Raced only on all-weather, winning 7f Kempton maiden last month before close second in handicap over same C&D a week later. May have more to offer yet.

Class Advantage

3/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/127/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par19/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 80%3/12Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 57%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 64%30/04Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%19/08Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 88%26/08
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.2%Ahead 2/4
9
4
OR 75
5/1
Town Queen silks

Mr Jaber Abdullah

3yo Filly · 9-6

Blue Point - Madly Truly (Malibu Moon)

S H James70%0/3K R Burke60%
22217
7.0

Off the mark when making all in 11-runner novice at this course (6f) in June. However, shaped as if amiss at Carlisle since and has questions to answer now.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a21/042/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par27/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 20%Dist: 7f 14y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%21/04Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 75%2/05Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 90%30/05Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%18/06Pos 7 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 7 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 0%27/08
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.2%Ahead 1/4
8
9
OR 75
25/1
Bami silks

Mr T Dascombe

3yo Filly · 9-6

Kodi Bear - Speed Skater (Olympic Glory)

William Cox1/1Tom Dascombe
431412
7.0Going 7.0

Progressive filly who won a handicap at Newbury on her return in June and improved on that when good second of 7 at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) last month. Likely to give another good account.

Class Advantage

14/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a14/103/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a10/12 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/12 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par21/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 57%14/10Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%20/11Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%23/06Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%21/08
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +42.1%Ahead 4/4
7
6
OR 77
18/1
Miss Lady Grace silks

Mr R H J Martin And Mrs J Martin

3yo Filly · 9-8

Space Blues - Sea Of Grace (Born To Sea)

Alexandra Egan60%2/2−7lbDan Horsford
217611
7.0Going 8.0

Justified support with a much-improved effort at Goodwood (7f) under this rider in June and followed up with the minimum of fuss at Chester a week later. Finds herself off a career-high mark on first outing since here, however.

Class Advantage

13/02 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/02 · mark par13/0227/02 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par25/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/03 · mark par26/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%13/02Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%25/03Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%5/06Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%12/06
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.4%Ahead 3/4
4
7
OR 76
18/1
Handle With Care silks

Mr Paul Hunt

4yo Filly · 9-10

Advertise - Victors Lady (Society Rock)

Marco Ghiani60%1/5M Botti
613471
6.0Going 8.0

Bagged third victory at Lingfield in 9-runner handicap back in May. 4 lb higher on first start since and will likely need to find improvement to score again.

Class Advantage

15/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/12 · mark par15/1231/12 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/12 · mark par19/01 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/01 · mark par7/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/02 · mark par3/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par12/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/05 · mark par12/05projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%15/12Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%19/01Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 45%3/04Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%12/05
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.2%Ahead 2/4
3
5
OR 79
11/1
Chantelle silks

Elite Racing Club

3yo Filly · 9-10

Gleneagles - Canasta (Charm Spirit)

L Morris70%2/4Sir Mark Prescott60%
112235
5.0Going 8.0

Started 2-2 in fillies maidens at Wolverhampton last winter and wasn't far off landing the hat-trick over this C&D. Largely remained in good form since but handicapper may have control for now.

Class Advantage

30/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a30/1226/01 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/02 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par30/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par14/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%30/12Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%28/02Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 33%14/08Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 43%3/09
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -34.3%Ahead 0/4
12
11
OR 68
11/1
Enola Grey silks

Cragg Wood Racing

6yo Mare · 9-2

Havana Grey - Izola (Beat Hollow)

C J Whiteley60%−5lbG Tutty
668006
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Course winner but is in a lull at present, finishing only sixth of 8 in handicap (12/1) at this course (1m) 19 days ago. Has work to do.

Class Advantage

27/02 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par27/0224/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par1/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%27/02Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 56%11/07Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 36%1/08Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%3/09
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.3%Ahead 3/4
11
8
OR 69
50/1
Bella Bisbee silks

Amphitheatre Racing Limited

5yo Mare · 9-3

Muhaarar - Sterling Sound (Street Cry)

K T O'Neill2/15S Dixon
028366
4.0

C&D winner who did enough to suggest she remains in form when sixth of 13 in minor event at Doncaster (1m, good to firm) 11 days ago. Back down in trip.

Class Advantage

9/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par9/0722/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par31/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%9/07Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 13%31/07Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 29%28/08Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 58%11/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.6%Ahead 3/4
2
10
OR 78
80/1
Patricia R silks

Mr M Rozenbroek

4yo Filly · 9-12

Ulysses - Khobaraa (Invincible Spirit)

Ryan Sexton2/4Miss J A Camacho60%
1210
6.0
1st Hood +1

Won 2 of her 4 starts last year but not seen since disappointing effort at Thirsk 12 months ago. May well need this outing on tapeta debut. Hood on first time/had breathing operation.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/0610/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a10/0720/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/086/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%6/06Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 88%10/07Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%20/08Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 10%6/09
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.8%Ahead 3/4
10
12
OR 72
66/1
Lope El Fuego silks

Jim and Claire Limited

3yo Filly · 9-3

Lope Y Fernandez - Burnt Fingers (Kheleyf)

Rob Hornby0/1W Greatrex60%
130990
2.0Class ↓3
1st Hood +1

Landed a 6f novice at Newbury last summer but has largely disappointed since, coming home last of 11 in 6f handicap at Kempton 17 days ago. Lots to prove in a first-time hood.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/0723/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a15/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par25/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par9/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 7f 14y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 67%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 10%15/08Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 11%9/07Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%5/09
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.6%Ahead 2/4