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20:09 · Belmont Park

Race 8 - Allowance

6f3YO plusDIRT10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market Fav2
OR 93
3/1
Joker On Fire silks

Blue Water Stables

Joker On Fire

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Practical Joke - Fire Assay (Medaglia D'oro)

Ricardo Jr Santana60%0/1Bruce Levine
125222
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

13/11 · C9 · finish vs mark above13/11 · mark par13/1116/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par7/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par9/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%13/11Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%7/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%1/08Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%28/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.3%Ahead 1/4
7
Top Pick1
OR 73
6/1
True Legend silks

Gatsas Stables, R A Hill Stable And Qatar Racing Llc

True Legend

3yo Gelding · 8-11

Honest Mischief - Ascent (More Than Ready)

Manuel Franco70%1/4George Weaver
24301
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a21/0911/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par11/1021/11 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par21/1119/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 88%21/09Pos 4 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 4 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 50%11/10Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%21/11Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%19/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.6%Ahead 2/4
3
3
OR 84
9/2
Light Fantastic silks

Goldfarb, Sanford J , Goldfarb, Irwin And Speranza, Steven

Light Fantastic

5yo Gelding · 9-0

City Of Light - Spoken Not Broken (Broken Vow)

John VelazquezB Cox60%
531811
6.0

Class Advantage

19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a19/0623/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par13/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par23/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par7/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%19/06Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%13/06Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 13%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%20/08Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%7/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.0%Ahead 3/4
1
5
OR 88
4/1
Stormy Birthday silks

Fox Ridge Farm, Inc

Stormy Birthday

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Get Stormy - Birthday Gift (Hat Trick)

Flavien Prat60%Robert Ribaudo
329534
4.0

Class Advantage

10/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par10/107/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/11 · mark par16/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%10/10Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 89%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%16/05Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 78%25/07Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%28/08
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.8%Ahead 3/4
10
8
OR 78
12/1
Three Mile Gold silks

Sport Of Kings Racing Partners Llc

Three Mile Gold

3yo Colt · 8-11

Goldencents - Mascotte (Speightstown)

Edgard ZayasTareq Moubarak
0513
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

28/02 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a28/022/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/04 · mark par2/0419/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par19/0724/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%28/02Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%2/04Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%24/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.1%Ahead 2/4
9
4
OR 85
8/1
Fireballin silks

Glencrest Farm Llc (lessee)

Fireballin

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Honest Mischief - Barbie On A Budget (Mineshaft)

Katie Davis0/1Michael Maker
632663
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

5/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/02 · mark par5/0228/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par15/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par7/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par3/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%5/02Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%15/05Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%3/07Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 75%28/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.3%Ahead 1/4
2
6
OR 70
20/1
Until Last Call silks

Ryerson, Christopher And Yankanich, Brad

Until Last Call

4yo Gelding · 9-0

Disco Partner - Just Livin A Dream (Trippi)

Christopher Elliott0/2James Ryerson
955491
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

10/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/12 · mark par10/122/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par16/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par13/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par12/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par6/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par6/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%10/12Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%16/05Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 11%12/07Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%6/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.9%Ahead 2/4
8
7
OR 89
6/1
Rhyton silks

West Point Thoroughbreds, Hertrich Iii, Frederick And Backstretch Seven Racing

Rhyton

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Kantharos - Unlimited Resource (Broken Vow)

Jose Ortiz60%0/1Miguel Clement
19256
3.0

Class Advantage

12/11 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a12/117/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%12/11Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%7/06Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 91%4/07Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%1/08Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 38%28/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.6%Ahead 2/4
5
10
OR 87
20/1
Manor Park silks

Bella Cavalli Racing, Inc

Manor Park

3yo Gelding · 8-11

Improbable - Fresco (Freud)

Dylan Davis0/1James Begg
93167
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

17/05 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a17/0513/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par11/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par24/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par27/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 11%17/05Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%13/06Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%11/07Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%24/07Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%27/08
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +49.3%Ahead 4/4
4
9
OR 88
12/1
Van Vollenhoven silks

Heronwood Racing Partnership

Van Vollenhoven

5yo Gelding · 8-12

Big Brown - Ducasa (Discreet Cat)

Javier Castellano0/2David Duggan
562047
3.0

Class Advantage

7/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/12 · mark par7/123/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/01 · mark par7/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%7/12Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 90%7/06Pos 11 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 11 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 9%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%1/08Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%28/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.5%Ahead 2/4