12:02 · Newbury

Dubai International Airport World Trophy Stakes (Group 3)

5f 34yGoing TBCClass 13YO plusTURF11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market Fav2
OR 112
3/1
Starlust silks

Mrs Fitri Hay

5yo Horse · 9-3

Zoustar - Beyond Desire (Invincible Spirit)

Rossa Ryan70%2/15R M Beckett60%
460424
6.0

Lightly raced since winning the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint in 2024 (briefly took up stud duties) but proved he still has plenty to offer when finding only Bacio too good in the Nunthorpe. Another good effort when in the frame in the Flying Five at the Curragh last week and he can go well again.

Class Advantage

17/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par17/0630/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par16/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par11/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par21/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par13/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 34y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 84%17/06Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 29%Pos 23 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 23 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 12%16/06Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 94%21/08Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 81%13/09
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.6%Ahead 3/4
10
Top Pick1
OR 105
6/1
First Instinct silks

Dunchurch Lodge Stud Company

4yo Filly · 9-0

Bated Breath - Proportional (Beat Hollow)

Cieren Fallon80%0/6W J Haggas
109025
5.0Going 8.0

Career best when winning this last season. Faced quite stiff tasks over the minimum trip first 2 starts this season, before bouncing back to her best when close second in the Summer Stakes at York (6f) in July. Underperformed at Naas 4 weeks ago, though.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par20/095/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/10 · mark par2/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par16/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par10/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par23/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 34y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%20/09Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 38%2/05Pos 22 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 22 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 16%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 92%10/07Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 43%23/08
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.2%Ahead 3/4
11
3
OR 97
12/1
Miss Yechance silks

Al Leith Racing Club

3yo Filly · 8-13

Cotai Glory - Rosie Bassett (Wootton Bassett)

Jack Nicholls60%1/1K R Burke60%
542731
6.0Going 8.0

Won twice for Jack Morland in Britain at 2 yrs, before bagging a Meydan handicap in January for A Cintra & Julio Olascoaga. Better than ever when blazing a trail from the front in a 19-runner handicap (9/1) at York (5f, good) 31 days ago and she's worth a crack at this higher grade.

Class Advantage

30/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/01 · mark par30/0120/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par19/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par30/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par19/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move3
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 34y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 69%30/01Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 77%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 92%6/03Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 88%30/07Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%19/08
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +43.3%Ahead 4/4
7
5
OR 108
7/1
Dickensian silks

Exors Of The Late Sheikh Mohammed Obai

3yo Colt · 9-2

Pinatubo - Yourtimeisnow (Charm Spirit)

Shane Gray60%2/11K A Ryan
310703
4.0Going 8.0

Advanced his form when making a winning return in a 5f listed race at York in May and produced his best effort since on the back of a breathing operation when length third of 9 to Extremely Zain in a 6f listed event there 13 days ago. Still needs to confirm he's as effective away from York.

Class Advantage

12/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/0914/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par19/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par11/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par31/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par6/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 34y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 78%12/09Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 20 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 20 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 27%19/06Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 14%31/07Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 75%6/09
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.4%Ahead 3/4
3
8
OR 108
9/2
Redorange silks

AlMohamediya Racing

4yo Gelding · 9-3

Mehmas - Ring For Baileys (Kyllachy)

Callum Rodriguez60%C G Cox
781410
5.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Built on an encouraging return at the Dante Meeting when scoring in ready fashion in a Windsor handicap later that month. Quickly back on track when taking a 5f York listed event in July and shaped better than the result having met trouble when mid-field in the Nunthorpe there last month.

Class Advantage

21/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/0914/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par18/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par30/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par11/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par21/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 34y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 54%21/09Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 65%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%18/05Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%11/07Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 41%21/08
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.1%Ahead 3/4
4
4
OR 104
8/1
Shagraan silks

J & A Young (Racing) Limited

5yo Gelding · 9-3

Sioux Nation - Annie Fior (Finsceal Fior)

S De Sousa60%0/2C G Cox70%
213007
4.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Dual listed winner last season for Michael Appleby and sound start for new yard when third in the Palace House. Hasn't quite built on that in 3 subsequent outings and cheekpieces are now applied.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par20/094/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par2/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par23/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par16/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par4/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 34y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 90%20/09Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 85%2/05Pos 11 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 11 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 17 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 36%16/06Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%4/07
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.9%Ahead 2/4
1
6
OR 109
7/1
Diligent Harry silks

The Dilinquents

8yo Gelding · 9-3

Due Diligence - Harryana To (Compton Place)

R L Moore60%1/1C G Cox60%
011448
5.0
Cheek pieces

Last year's Chipchase Stakes winner landed back-to-back listed race wins at Lingfield in February. Translated that form to turf with good in-frame efforts in the Abernant Stakes and the Minster Stakes but underwhelming when down the field in the most recent renewal of the Chipchase in June.

Class Advantage

6/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/0931/01 · C1 · finish vs mark above31/01 · mark par21/02 · C1 · finish vs mark above21/02 · mark par16/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par13/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par27/06 · C1 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 34y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 19%6/09Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%21/02Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%13/05Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 30%27/06
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.6%Ahead 3/4
2
7
OR 100
16/1
Naana's Sparkle silks

Bruiser Boyz And Partner

4yo Gelding · 9-3

Twilight Son - Sweet And Dandy (Dandy Man)

K T O'Neill4/12Lemos Souza
141201
6.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Has shown improved form for current yard this year, making it 2 wins from first 3 starts when scoring at Southwell in July. Collared only close home in 23-runner contest at Glorious Goodwood (5f) and swifty back on the up when winning a 6-runner handicap at the same C&D (heavy) 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par13/056/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par5/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par28/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par19/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par29/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 34y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%13/05Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%5/07Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 95%Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%19/08Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%29/08
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.2%Ahead 3/4
6
9
OR 107
12/1
Aspect Island silks

The Gredley Family

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Showcasing - Bird Key (Cadeaux Genereux)

L Morris70%0/1James Owen60%
730028
4.0
Cheek pieces

Ran Redorange close in a York listed event in July but was a never-competitive eighth when stepped back up in grade in the King George Stakes at Goodwood (5f, good to firm) 50 days ago. Gelded since and he might need bit more to score in this company.

Class Advantage

16/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par16/0414/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par16/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par19/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par11/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par31/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 34y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 54%16/04Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 16 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%16/06Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 48%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 92%11/07Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%31/07
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +41.5%Ahead 4/4
8
10
OR 89
25/1
Hallo Spaceboy silks

David Ward

3yo Colt · 9-2

Starman - New Day Dawn (Dawn Approach)

K Shoemark60%1/5E Walker
212218
5.0Going 9.0

Son of Starman who bagged a 5f novice at Newcastle on final 2-y-o start. Shaped well when runner-up in 6f handicaps at Kempton and Ascot this year prior to justifying cramped odds in a 14-runner York handicap in June. Similar form when mid-field in a 14-runner event at Deauville last month.

Class Advantage

31/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/1024/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par8/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par27/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par9/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move3
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 34y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 75%31/10Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%8/04Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 94%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%27/06Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 46%9/08
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.0%Ahead 3/4
9
11
OR 101
25/1
Azure Angel silks

Future Champions Racing And Partner

6yo Mare · 9-0

Harry Angel - Silken Skies (Zoffany)

Connor Beasley60%E Bethell80%
150500
2.0
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

Bounced back to her best when resuming winning ways in listed event at Bath in April. Better form in defeat next 3 starts but unable to land a blow in much better company both starts since (almost unseated rider start at Goodwood penultimate outing). Now sports visor.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par5/0430/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par16/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par11/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par31/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par21/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 34y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%5/04Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 12 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 56%16/06Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 15 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%31/07Pos 17 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 6%21/08
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.6%Ahead 3/4