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12:47 · Redcar

Happy Birthday Mark Holton Nursery

7f 219yGoing TBCClass 62YO onlyTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
Top Pick1
OR 51
7/2
Astral Calling silks

Nick Bradley Racing 5 & E Burke

Astral Calling

2yo Filly · 8-9

Space Traveller - Hawaajib (Elusive City)

Jack Nicholls60%0/1K R Burke60%
6702
5.0Class ↓4

Benefited from the step up in trip as she showed improved form switched to a nursery when second of 7 at Musselburgh (1m, good to firm) last month. Nudged up 2 lb but every chance she will be in the shake-up.

Class Advantage

4/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0727/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0712/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/0824/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength96%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 219y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%4/07Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 45%27/07Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%12/08Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 83%24/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.6%Ahead 2/4
2
Market Fav2
OR 64
2/1
Son Of A Fish silks

Miss Lori Kate Jeromson

Son Of A Fish

2yo Colt · 9-8

Territories - Tejano (Teofilo)

P Mulrennan0/1R Hannon60%
5373
5.0Class ↓4

Immediately shaped better switched to a nursery when third of 10 at Leicester (7f, good) just over a fortnight ago, going on encouragingly at the line. Has potential for better again returned to 1m so warrants considerable respect.

Class Advantage

6/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/0715/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0824/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/088/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength98%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 219y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 56%6/07Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%15/08Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%24/08Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%8/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.4%Ahead 3/4
1
3
OR 65
5/1
Hope Of Acklam silks

Amity Finance Racing

Hope Of Acklam

2yo Gelding · 9-9

Calyx - Sierra Nevada (Mastercraftsman)

Billy Garritty60%0/2M & D Easterby
923
7.0

Showed a lot more second time up when narrow runner-up in a course seller (7f) last month and took another step forward when third of 9 in maiden at Musselburgh (7f, good to firm) 11 days ago. One to consider upped further in trip for his nursery bow.

Class Advantage

14/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0822/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/0812/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength77%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 219y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%14/08Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 90%22/08Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%12/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.1%Ahead 3/3
4
5
OR 61
15/2
Lopefernza silks

Mr Ian O'connor

Lopefernza

2yo Gelding · 9-5

Lope Y Fernandez - On A Whim (Tamayuz)

David Probert70%0/1D Loughnane60%
667
3.0Class ↓4

Standout effort when sixth of 12 in novice at Southwell (7f) in July. Likely to be seen in a better light now tackling a nursery for the first time upped to 1m.

Class Advantage

16/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0627/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/073/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength92%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 219y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 38%16/06Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 55%27/07Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%3/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.9%Ahead 2/3
3
4
OR 62
10/1
Dakota Brave silks

Kingsley Park 44

Dakota Brave

2yo Colt · 9-6

Sioux Nation - Chinese White (Dalakhani)

Connor Beasley60%0/1C Johnston
65344
5.0Class ↓4

Standout effort when third of 9 in maiden at Newcastle in June. Ran his worst race to date on nursery debut at Catterick (7f, good to firm) 9 weeks ago and has been freshened up since. Upped further in trip.

Class Advantage

30/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0417/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par22/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength92%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 219y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 17%30/04Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 20%17/05Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%25/06Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%8/07Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%22/07
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -32.2%Ahead 0/4
7
6
OR 52
16/1
Diplomacy silks

Ryedale Racing & Southbank Racing

Diplomacy

2yo Gelding · 8-10

Showcasing - Borja (Lope De Vega)

Joanna MasonM & D Easterby
699
3.0

Little impact in 3 outings over 7f in recent weeks. May prove a different proposition now tackling a nursery over this longer trip.

Class Advantage

24/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0712/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/0825/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength77%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 219y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 29%24/07Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 27%12/08Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 11%25/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.3%Ahead 3/3
8
8
OR 51
20/1
Right Up My Ali silks

Ursa Major Racing Ltd & Partner

Right Up My Ali

2yo Gelding · 8-9

A'ali - Tap Dancing (Galileo)

Rhys Elliott60%0/2−5lbM Walford
998
2.0

Hasn't shown much to be positive about so far but this switch to a nursery over 1m could see him in a better light.

Class Advantage

15/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0625/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0622/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength63%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 219y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 11%15/06Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 11%25/06Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 30%22/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.4%Ahead 3/3
5
10
OR 56
12/1
Craven Force silks

Craven Surface , Mrs T Burns & Partner

Craven Force

2yo Gelding · 9-0

Caturra - Limousine (Beat Hollow)

T EavesCraig Lidster
670
3.0Class ↓4

Best effort in his qualifying runs when seventh of 11 in maiden at Beverley (5f, good) in May. Upped markedly in trip for his nursery debut/reappearance (has also been gelded).

Class Advantage

23/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/044/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0514/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/05projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength80%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 219y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%23/04Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%4/05Pos 13 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 14%14/05
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.1%Ahead 3/3
6
7
OR 54
16/1
King Of Persia silks

Reality Partnerships Iii

King Of Persia

2yo Colt · 8-12

Bated Breath - Vashti (Showcasing)

D Allan60%T D Easterby
7768
3.0

Didn't show a great deal in 3 outings over 6f/7f in midsummer and failed to improve right away on nursery bow after 8 weeks off at Leicester (7f, good) recently. Upped to 1m but may need more time.

Class Advantage

15/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0624/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0617/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/078/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 219y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%15/06Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%24/06Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%17/07Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 22%8/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.8%Ahead 3/4
10
9
OR 50
33/1
Wells Fargo Stage silks

Mr S A Heley & Partner

Wells Fargo Stage

2yo Filly · 8-8

Wells Farhh Go - Royal Punch (Royal Applause)

D Fentiman60%0/2T D Easterby80%
0590
2.0
1st Blinkers +3

Has shown little in her 4 starts to date, most recently when last of 10 on nursery debut at Beverley (7.5f, good) just under 6 weeks ago. Hopes pinned on first-time blinkers sparking improvement.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0524/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/066/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/0713/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 219y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%18/05Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 60%24/06Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 20%6/07Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%13/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.9%Ahead 3/4