15:22 · Newton Abbot

Colin Willcocks Memorial Handicap Hurdle

2m 5f 122yGoing TBCClass 34YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
2
OR 114
9/4
Kom Tu Voudras silks

Mr John P McManus

6yo Mare · 11-2

Martinborough - Mousse Des Bois (Ut*chef De Clan)

H Cobden80%3/6Faye Bramley60%
2164F1
7.0Going 10.0Class ↓2
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Forward-going mare who has won 3 of 6 completed starts for current yard. Things have unfolded favourably for both handicap wins, forging clear of one that went for home too soon at Fontwell last time (third has won since). May prove vulnerable off 5 lb higher.

Class Advantage

19/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/029/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par11/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par28/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par28/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 122y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%19/02Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%11/06Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 80%24/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%28/08
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.0%Ahead 3/4
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 113
6/4
Rebel Tribesman silks

Oldgoldracing & Walkingwiththewounded

5yo Gelding · 11-1

Crystal Ocean - You Should Know Me (Oscar)

G Sheehan60%1/3Jamie Snowden
122121
8.0Going 10.0

Bumper/maiden hurdle winner. Enhanced his fine strike rate (3-6) when successful on handicap debut at Stratford (2¾m) latest, the form working out better than might have been expected. In the right hands to progress again, and he may well follow up.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a16/0510/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par20/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 122y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%16/05Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 75%10/04Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 80%18/07Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%20/08
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.1%Ahead 1/4
1
3
OR 126
10/3
Service Minimum silks

Susan Johnson

6yo Mare · 12-0

Doctor Dino - Zanzibelle (Zanzibari)

Harry Skelton80%4/9D Skelton80%
747117
5.0Going 10.0

Thriving when completing a mares handicap double with a strong-travelling display at Warwick in April. Beaten by more than 10-lb rise in hat-trick bid at Uttoxeter the following month (plenty ran badly in very hot weather that day). Capable fresh and no surprise if she resumes winning ways.

Class Advantage

22/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/01 · mark par22/017/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/02 · mark par17/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/02 · mark par31/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/03 · mark par23/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par24/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par24/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 122y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 57%22/01Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 45%17/02Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%23/04Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 40%24/05
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.8%Ahead 3/4
6
5
OR 108
8/1
King Of The Bronx silks

Mr Paul Bona

5yo Gelding · 10-10

Dragon Pulse - Rosie Hackett (Jeremy)

Ellis Collier−5lbS Hosie
000751
2.0

Progressed to win a big-field Cork handicap hurdle on final start for Gavin Cromwell last spring. Changed hands for only €10,000 prior to a couple of underwhelming outings on the Flat for Anthony Charlton last summer. Something to prove reverted to hurdles by new handler following 13 months away.

Class Advantage

27/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/129/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par6/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par21/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 122y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 33%27/12Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 69%6/04Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%21/07Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%19/08
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.5%Ahead 2/4
2
4
OR 123
16/1
Bold Endeavour silks

The Bold 'n' Brave Syndicate

10yo Gelding · 11-11

Fame And Glory - Araucaria (Accordion)

Bryan Carver0/1C Honour60%
P37P06
3.0Class ↓2Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Still fairly useful for Nicky Henderson last season, only beaten 7½ lengths in Pertemps Final at Cheltenham Festival. Plenty to prove 11 weeks on from an underwhelming stable debut, though, even with usual headgear back on.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par11/059/11 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/11 · mark par22/01 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/01 · mark par12/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par9/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par28/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par28/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 122y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 13 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%11/05Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%22/01Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 74%Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 7%9/05Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 44%28/06
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.5%Ahead 2/4
7
6
OR 106
50/1
Top Coeur silks

Sue Howell

5yo Gelding · 10-8

Choeur Du Nord - Lady Coraline (Martaline)

Jack Tudor60%0/3Christian Williams
436586
2.0

Fair form in a pair of maiden hurdles for Gavin Patrick Cromwell in late-2025. Hasn't fired for current connections. Only considered if market strongly hints at a revival following a breathing operation/3-month absence.

Class Advantage

29/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/1120/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/03 · mark par1/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/04 · mark par2/05 · C3 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par4/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par4/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 122y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 87%29/11Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%18/03Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%2/05Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%4/06
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.2%Ahead 1/4