16:30 · Market Rasen

Block Free Services Lincoln Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m 125yGoodClass 23YO plusTURFHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
2
OR 128
7/1
Un Sens A La Vie silks

El Rincon

6yo Gelding · 11-5

Muhtathir - Kpalime (Enrique)

Sam Twiston-Davies70%3/7N & W Twiston-Davies
172142
7.0Going 10.0

Strong-galloping type who chased home Old Park Star at Kempton prior to a promising fourth on testing ground in the William Hill at Newbury. Easy to overlook end-of-season novice defeat at Ludlow and with yard starting to hit form, he can make a bold bid for a third course victory on return.

Class Advantage

14/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/1024/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/12 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/12 · mark par7/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/02 · mark par22/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par22/04projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 2m 125y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 2/7 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/7 | Actual: 100%14/10Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 45%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%24/11Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 79%7/02Pos 2 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 80%22/04
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.2%Ahead 2/4
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 132
9/2
Edelak silks

Carsberg, Rafftery & Stennett

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Almanzor - Edelmira (Peintre Celebre)

Harry Skelton80%4/5D Skelton70%
111F11
9.0Going 10.0Class ↓1
Cheek pieces

Fairly useful winner on Flat. Won 5 of his 6 completed hurdle starts since joining Dan Skelton, jumping fluently/improving on the figures when making every yard in another small-field event at Newton Abbot (17f) last time. Step up in class could foil his bid for a second hat-trick of the year.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/0519/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par28/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par19/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par7/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 2m 125y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/7 | Expected: 99%Pos 2 · SP 2/7 | Actual: 89%8/05Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%16/06Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.3%Ahead 4/4
10
3
OR 115
6/1
Crooked Path silks

Houghton And Lang

4yo Gelding · 10-4

Waldgeist - Moving Heart (Anabaa)

J J Burke60%0/1James Owen60%
262331
7.0
Cheek pieces

Chased home a couple of fairly useful sorts in maidens before opening his hurdle account at Tramore on final start for Denis Hogan. Improved model on the Flat this summer, and no surprise if he advances his hurdles form on first start in this sphere for the excellent James Owen yard.

Class Advantage

12/03 · C11 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par12/0331/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/03 · mark par20/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par12/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par10/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲5
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 2m 125y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%12/03Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%20/04Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 92%31/08Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 80%10/09
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.0%Ahead 3/4
2
5
OR 135
5/1
Indian River silks

Mr Garry Wilkie Wilson

4yo Gelding · 11-10

Nathaniel - The Tulip (Lawman)

B S Hughes60%3/3A Keatley
11103
7.0Class ↓2

Useful sort who rattled off a hurdles hat-trick at northern tracks last winter. Finished mid-field in the Triumph before looking full value for his subsequent much-improved third in the Grade 1 Anniversary at Aintree. Very interesting returning in a handicap for yard whose hurdlers do well here.

Class Advantage

1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/0921/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/01 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/01 · mark par13/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par9/04 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par9/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 2m 125y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 71%1/09Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%27/12Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 53%13/03Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 78%9/04
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.6%Ahead 4/4
1
4
OR 137
7/1
Indemnity silks

Andrew Gemmell & Richard Lavelle

6yo Gelding · 12-0

Lope De Vega - Oriental Magic (Doyen)

Ben Jones60%1/3Miss E C Lavelle
234102
7.0Going 10.0

Strong-travelling sort who had solid form behind Alexei/Tutti Quanti prior to his success in the Sussex Champion Hurdle at Plumpton (2m) in April. Set a strong pace/shaped best when 2¾-length second in Summer Hurdle last time. Capable of another big effort despite a 4-lb rise.

Class Advantage

1/11 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/11 · mark par1/1129/11 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/11 · mark par27/12 · C3 · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par5/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par9/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par18/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 2m 125y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 90%1/11Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 40%27/12Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%9/05Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 92%18/07
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.2%Ahead 2/4
11
6
OR 112
8/1
Inappropriate silks

The Farming Boys & Ben Stephens

5yo Gelding · 10-3

Churchill - Kimblewick (Iffraaj)

Sean Quinlan80%1/1Ewan Whillans70%
595261
6.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Fairly useful winner on the Flat prior to capitalising on a lenient hurdle mark in smooth style at Perth last time, the form not working out as well as might have been expected. Still on a handy mark for his capable yard, though perhaps not enough in hand to win a race this competitive.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par15/0524/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par25/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 125y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 29%15/05Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%13/07Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 13%25/08Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%7/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.6%Ahead 2/4
7
7
OR 122
14/1
Howth silks

ValueRacingClub co uk

7yo Gelding · 10-13

Churchill - Muwakaba (Elusive Quality)

Stan Sheppard70%4/6T Lacey
311435
6.0Class ↓2
Tongue strap

Fairly useful on Flat. Notched first of 4 small-field victories over C&D in a progressive novice season. Emerged with credit when beaten 8¼ lengths in the Summer Hurdle. Trainer quick to blame the track for his latest effort at Chester and interesting that stable jockey prefers him to Squeezebox.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par29/0614/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par30/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par21/09 · C3 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par3/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par18/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 2m 125y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%29/06Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Actual: 100%30/08Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%3/06Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 67%18/07
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.4%Ahead 1/4
6
8
OR 123
8/1
Morning Mayhem silks

Felstead Partnership

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Dragon Dancer - Midnight Mayhem (Presenting)

Kielan Woods60%3/8Nick Scholfield60%
414441
7.0
Cheek pieces

A credit to connections. Rallied to finish 7¾ lengths fourth in a typically competitive Summer Hurdle here in July. Return of headgear probably a catalyst for further improvement when landing Cartmel Cup last time. Now 35 lb higher than his breakthrough success and may find this a bridge too far.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par4/053/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par18/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par29/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 2m 125y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 73%4/05Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 4 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 0%12/06Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 25%22/08Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%29/08
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.4%Ahead 2/4
9
11
OR 118
10/1
Squeezebox silks

Value Racing - Squeezebox

7yo Gelding · 10-9

Slade Power - Beal Ban (Daggers Drawn)

Brendan Powell60%1/1T Lacey
151135
6.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Course novice winner who's proved more amenable this season. Followed his stylish reappearance success with a solid 6¼ lengths third in a briskly-run Summer Hurdle here. Didn't have the run of things at Perth last time and is weighted to go close in a race that should pan out more favourably.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/0823/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par18/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par15/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 2m 125y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%16/08Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%17/10Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 83%18/07Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 43%15/08
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.0%Ahead 3/4
8
9
OR 119
20/1
Saligo Bay silks

Lpd Demolition Ltd

8yo Gelding · 10-10

New Bay - Glorification (Champs Elysees)

Jonathan England60%3/12S England
11058P
3.0Going 8.0

In the early stages of his meteoric rise when successful in this corresponding event 12 months ago. Now off a 14 lb higher mark, though, and hasn't gone on at all from a satisfactory seasonal reappearance.

Class Advantage

15/11 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/11 · mark par15/1120/12 · C3 · finish vs mark above20/12 · mark par16/01 · C2 · finish vs mark below16/01 · mark par31/01 · C2 · finish vs mark below31/01 · mark par18/07 · C3 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par2/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 2m 125y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%15/11Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 23%16/01Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 30%18/07Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 13%2/08
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.5%Ahead 3/4
5
10
OR 128
16/1
Karoline Banbou silks

Mr John P McManus

6yo Mare · 11-5

No Risk At All - Vestale Banbou (Apsis)

Jack O'Neill−7lbFaye Bramley
722F68
3.0Class ↓2Going 8.0

Best effort over hurdles when fourth in 2025 Dawn Run at Cheltenham Festival. Fall at Leopardstown in March seemingly derailed her progress over fences for Willie Mullins this year. On a reasonable mark for her handicap hurdle debut, provided she's back on song for capable new handler.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par20/041/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par13/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a14/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/05 · C13 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par7/06 · C13 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par7/06projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲8
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 2m 125y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 62%20/04Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 92%13/12Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 86%Pos 6 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 6 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 44%7/05Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 36%7/06
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 11-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.7%Ahead 2/4
12
12
OR 104
33/1
Belvedere Blast silks

Swanland Partnership

8yo Gelding · 10-2

Buratino - Zelie Martin (Invincible Spirit)

Danny McMenamin70%0/2A Keatley60%
03395P
4.0

Quirky sort landed a fourth victory at this track in a Class 4 handicap (23f) last summer. Hasn't gone on from a positive start to this season, taking little interest in a first-time tongue strap at Cartmel (2¾m) last time. Out of the weights and drop back to 2m unlikely to help his cause, either.

Class Advantage

9/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/12 · mark par9/1228/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/12 · mark par4/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 2m 125y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 14%9/12Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%4/06Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 27%18/07Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 20%15/08
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.8%Ahead 2/4