15:50 · Newmarket

Hunt Family Fund Handicap

7fGood to FirmClass 23YO plusTURFHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 102
11/2
Arctic Dawn silks

Mr & Mrs G Middlebrook

5yo Gelding · 9-11

Blue Point - Rose Diamond (Daylami)

Billy Loughnane90%0/1D & C Kubler60%
310618
5.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Has shown improved form over 7f this season. Scored readily at Doncaster in June before rallying to resume winning ways at Newmarket last month. Seemingly anchored by a 6-lb penalty under contrasting conditions at York (1m, soft) latest. Looks to have a more realistic chance at the weights here.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par16/056/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par18/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par8/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par20/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 67%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%16/05Pos 1 · SP 18/5 | Expected: 81%Pos 1 · SP 18/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 24 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 24 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 15%18/06Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 46%20/08
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.1%Ahead 4/4
5
Market Fav2
OR 96
7/2
Sword Maker silks

Godolphin

3yo Colt · 9-2

Pinatubo - Whimbrel (Dark Angel)

Oisin Murphy70%2/2S bin Suroor60%
131152
6.0Going 10.0
Cheek pieces

Good looker as a juvenile, winning 3 of his 5 starts (all over 6f). Back on the up second start this year, chasing home a next-time-out winner at Meydan in January. Will need to improve on first start in open company, however, does benefit from return of Oisin Murphy (2-2).

Class Advantage

30/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/0716/08 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a12/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par2/10 · C2 · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par9/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/01 · mark par30/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/01 · mark par30/01projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 17%Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%30/07Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%12/09Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 60%9/01Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%30/01
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.2%Ahead 4/4
4
4
OR 97
7/2
Addison Grey silks

Opulence Thoroughbreds

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Havana Grey - Moon Song (Lethal Force)

Rossa Ryan70%1/6C G Cox
253914
6.0Going 8.0

Consistent sort who's won 4 times, latterly when tackling 7f for the first time at Newbury last month. Seemed to find the same test stretching him in the face of a stiffer finish at Ascot subsequently (beaten 3¾ lengths). Strongly-run 7f on this track likely to expose any chinks in his armour, too.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par2/0516/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par30/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par15/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 83%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%2/05Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 69%Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 67%30/06Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%15/08Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%5/09
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.2%Ahead 1/4
6
6
OR 92
4/1
The Fingal Raven silks

Dominic Griffiths And David Kavanagh

4yo Gelding · 9-1

Mehmas - Chupalla (Helmet)

Saffie Osborne70%2/14J A Osborne70%
093927
4.0Class ↓1
BlinkersTongue strap

Doubled his tally in handicap at Meydan (1m) in January. Back to form in recent months, only bettered by an unexposed 3-y-o at Ascot and came home first in the disadvantaged group in big-field Newbury handicap last time. Similar performance may be enough to take this, with blinkers now refitted.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par18/0611/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par29/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par19/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 83%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 16 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 44%18/06Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 89%29/07Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%5/09Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%19/09
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +52.0%Ahead 4/4
9
5
OR 88
7/1
Huscal silks

Rosehill Racing Ii

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Saxon Warrior - Gravity Queen (Holy Roman Emperor)

Marco Ghiani60%1/1C Hills60%
843211
8.0
Tongue strap

Front-running has brought the best out of him of late. Again able to dictate when completing a double at Sandown earlier this month. Fancied to go well up in grade, for all he may have to work a bit harder to get to the lead this time.

Class Advantage

6/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par6/0525/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par2/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par15/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par8/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par11/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 50%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 42%6/05Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 85%2/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%11/09
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.9%Ahead 3/4
13
3
OR 83
50/1
Dapper Guest silks

John Guest Racing

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Dandy Man - Sea Of Dreams (Oasis Dream)

Jack Nicholls60%G G Margarson60%
080311
8.0
Cheek pieces

Had fallen a long way in the weights prior to rattling off a quick-fire double at Epsom (7f), winning in comfortable fashion there earlier this month. Hat-trick may evade him from out of the weights here, even with good-value claimer taking over.

Class Advantage

11/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/0724/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par12/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/08 · mark par23/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par10/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 50%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%11/07Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 11 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 11 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%12/08Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%31/08Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%10/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.4%Ahead 3/4
2
7
OR 104
14/1
Five Ways silks

Dr J A E Hobby

3yo Colt · 9-10

Kameko - Rosie Briar (Mayson)

Jason Watson70%2/10A M Balding80%
750460
3.0Class ↓2

Won a Group 3 at Kempton prior to finishing fourth in the Middle Park on last season. Standout effort of this year came when a close fourth in a listed race at Chester in July (best not judged on his latest run there). Appears to have plenty on his plate from his current mark.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par2/0523/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par13/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par11/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par31/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 33%Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 54%2/05Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 43%13/06Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 17%31/07Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%22/08
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.9%Ahead 3/4
12
10
OR 84
20/1
Sword silks

TJE Racing

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Kingman - Ame Bleue (Dubawi)

Olivia Haines0/2−7lbS C Williams60%
365827
4.0
Tongue strap

Temperamental sort has gone close a couple of times for current connections, including on July Course (6f) last month. Arrives on the back of a lesser effort at Ascot and is 2 lb out of the handicap in his bid to snap a losing streak.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/0611/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par8/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par22/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 67%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 89%12/06Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 73%25/07Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 92%22/08Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%5/09
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.5%Ahead 2/4
3
11
OR 99
17/2
Native American silks

Wathnan Racing

5yo Gelding · 9-8

Sioux Nation - Pencarrow (Green Desert)

J MitchellH Al Jehani
261328
5.0Class ↓2

Proved as least as good as ever when scoring at Meydan (9f) over the winter. Backed that up with a third behind a now-smart one but has been off since finishing down the field there in March. Seemingly needs a career best to make a winning return.

Class Advantage

25/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/0812/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/10 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/10 · mark par12/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/03projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to FirmDist: 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%25/08Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 55%12/10Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 82%9/01Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 36%6/03
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.7%Ahead 2/4
7
8
OR 94
33/1
Aqpan silks

Mr Nurlan Bizakov

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Blue Point - Testimony (Lawman)

Ray Dawson60%0/2R Varian80%
168790
2.0Class ↓2
1st Hood +1

Highly tried after landing the odds in 7f maiden at Southwell in March. Ran creditably in a 3-y-o handicap at Goodwood (form not working out as well as might have been expected) prior to failing to convince with his stamina at Chester (7.5f) last time. Needs to pull out more in first-time hood.

Class Advantage

28/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/0318/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par16/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par23/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 17%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/10 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/10 | Actual: 100%28/03Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 22%16/05Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%1/08Pos 12 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 12 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 8%22/08
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.0%Ahead 2/4
11
9
OR 86
18/1
Rocking Ends silks

Mr Colin Westley

6yo Gelding · 8-9

Havana Grey - Copper Penny (Dansili)

D Egan60%0/1Tom Clover
715503
4.0Class ↓2

Revitalised by the refitting of a visor when winning over 5f on July Course here in July. Wasn't seen to best effect in a couple of starts prior to keeping on to finish 3¼ lengths third at this course (6f) last week. Weighted to be competitive and certainly worth a try over this extra furlong.

Class Advantage

10/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/0717/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par16/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par19/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 83%Dist: 7f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 45%10/07Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%25/07Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%5/09Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%19/09
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.4%Ahead 2/4
10
12
OR 90
80/1
Utmost Good Faith silks

Mrs J Morley

3yo Gelding · 8-10

Starspangledbanner - Lovers' Gait (Gleneagles)

Jack DoughtyS C Williams90%
051000
2.0
Hood1st Tongue Strap +2

Landed an Epsom handicap under a typically positive ride on final start for George Boughey in July. Has found life tougher in higher grades for current connections (sent off at long odds all 3 starts) and a 2-lb reprieve may not be enough.

Class Advantage

7/05 · C2 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par7/0513/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par16/08 · C3 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par6/09 · C3 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 17%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%7/05Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%1/07Pos 13 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 8%16/08Pos 13 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 14%6/09
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.5%Ahead 3/4