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16:45 · Churchill Downs

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming

5f 110y2YO onlyDIRT14 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
3
OR 60
9/2
Speech And Drama silks

Robison, J Kirk And Robison, Judy

Speech And Drama

2yo Filly · 8-7

Dialed In - Judy To The Rescue (Into Mischief)

Luis Saez60%Steven Asmussen
323
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

10/05 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a10/055/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par5/0629/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 71%10/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%5/06Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%29/07
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.2%Ahead 0/3
14
9
OR 56
15/1
J Z's Not Again silks

Joel Zawitz

J Z's Not Again

2yo Filly · 8-7

Shancelot - Wedding Day (Jess's Dream)

Danilo Rave Grisales0/2Gustavo Esquivel
394
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

16/07 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a16/075/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par5/0824/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%16/07Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%5/08Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 70%24/08
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.8%Ahead 2/3
11
4
OR 74
20/1
Oro Estrella silks

Kirk, Kat And Sanders, Wayne R

Oro Estrella

2yo Filly · 8-7

Bolt D'oro - Fierce Scarlett (Scat Daddy)

Luke Hoskins70%−7lbW Calhoun80%
9
2.0Class ↓3
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

7/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/08
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength35%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%7/08
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.0%Ahead 1/1
5
6
OR 42
6/1
Back Back Back silks

Patricia's Hope Llc And Ravin, Richard

Back Back Back

2yo Filly · 8-7

Mutasaabeq - Warning Trackpower (Candy Ride)

Walter Rodriguez60%0/1Larry Rivelli
3
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

11/08 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a11/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%11/08
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-6 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -36.8%Ahead 0/1
6
8
OR 58
15/1
Chamita silks

Rey Hernandez

Chamita

2yo Filly · 8-7

Pinehurst - Mystic City (City Zip)

Summer Pauly60%0/1Rey Hernandez
538
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

8/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0713/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/0830/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 56%8/07Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%13/08Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 36%30/08
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.8%Ahead 2/3
10
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 71
5/2
Capodost silks

Crown Stable

Capodost

2yo Filly · 8-7

Nashville - Apurate (Summer Front)

Tyler Gaffalione60%B Cox80%
49
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

6/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/0830/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%6/08Pos 9 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 9 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 27%30/08
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -45.1%Ahead 0/2
9
7
OR 53
12/1
Joking Around silks

Jd Thoroughbreds Llc And Davis, Joey Keith

Joking Around

2yo Filly · 8-7

Practical Joke - Vocal (Malibu Moon)

D E Sheehy0/1Chris Hartman
773
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

13/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0616/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par16/0722/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 14%13/06Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 14%16/07Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%22/08
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -38.0%Ahead 0/3
13
11
6/1
Dice Shot silks

Chevy Chase Stables, Llc

Dice Shot

2yo Filly · 8-7

Flameaway - Lesia Jane (U S Ranger)

Jaime Torres60%William Walden
No form3.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish8th of 1446% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength68%
8
5
OR 44
20/1
Phil E Fayebaby silks

Lewis Lane Racing 2025, Llc

Phil E Fayebaby

2yo Filly · 8-7

Ghostzapper - Big Applause (Mr. Big)

Yedsit Hazlewood60%0/1Eric Foster80%
0
2.0Going 8.0Class ↓2
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

25/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/07
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength34%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 9%25/07
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 9-14 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.1%Ahead 1/1
2
2
OR 70
7/2
Callie's Dance silks

Bradley Grady

Callie's Dance

2yo Filly · 8-7

Girvin - My Dawn (Goldencents)

Jose Ortiz60%Joe Sharp60%
247
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

21/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/0619/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par19/0722/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 91%21/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 63%19/07Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%22/08
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.0%Ahead 1/3
7
10
OR 48
12/1
Stirrup silks

Joseph Sutton

Stirrup

2yo Filly · 8-7

Daredevil - Cowgirl Mally (Gone West)

Francisco Arrieta60%0/1Eddie Kenneally
0
2.0

Class Advantage

10/09 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a10/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 11 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%10/09
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 9-14 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -71.0%Ahead 0/1
12
13
30/1
Puzzled silks

Turnley Farms Louisiana

Puzzled

2yo Filly · 8-7

Drain The Clock - Classy Lil Rebel (Tapizar)

Gabriel Saez0/1W Calhoun
9
2.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

22/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/08
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength34%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 11%22/08
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.1%Ahead 1/1
1
12
OR 44
20/1
Belladore silks

Susan Montanye

Belladore

2yo Filly · 8-7

Hog Creek Hustle - Keino (Runhappy)

Keith Asmussen60%Steven Asmussen
8
2.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

22/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/08
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength34%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 22%22/08
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.4%Ahead 1/1
4
14
15/1
Dream About silks

Tony Feng

Dream About

2yo Filly · 8-7

Mitole - Shining Appeal (Powerscourt)

Jane Elliott60%Albert Stall
7
2.0

Class Advantage

12/08 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a12/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%12/08
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -65.8%Ahead 0/1