17:14 · Churchill Downs

Race 2 - Starter Allowance

1m 110y3YO plusDIRT8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market Fav2
OR 93
3/5
Coquito silks

Tec Racing (elliott S Logan)

5yo Mare · 8-12

Connect - Troubles No Mo (Uncle Mo)

Jose Ortiz60%0/1Joe Sharp80%
121731
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

17/04 · C7 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par17/047/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par11/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par27/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par7/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par22/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/14 | Expected: 100%Pos 1 · SP 1/14 | Actual: 100%17/04Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%11/06Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 67%7/08Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%22/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.0%Ahead 2/4
6
3
OR 84
9/2
Argan silks

Perseverance Racing Llc

5yo Mare · 8-10

Nyquist - Audrey's Double (Pulpit)

Gabriel SaezJose Camejo60%
721213
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

8/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par8/0321/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par17/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par11/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par6/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%8/03Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%17/04Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%11/06Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%6/07
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.9%Ahead 2/4
4
Top Pick1
OR 85
15/1
Gypsan silks

Amaty Racing Stables

5yo Mare · 8-10

Khozan - Gypsy Grey (Giant's Causeway)

Ben CurtisAaron Shorter60%
511127
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

25/01 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/01 · mark par25/0113/02 · C8 · finish vs mark above13/02 · mark par22/03 · C7 · finish vs mark above22/03 · mark par8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par6/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%25/01Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%22/03Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 86%6/07Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%7/08
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.6%Ahead 3/4
3
5
OR 81
6/1
Cora's Legacy silks

Leandro Moreno-barban

5yo Mare · 8-10

Street Sense - Holy Empress (Ghostzapper)

Victor CarrascoLeandro Barban60%
235322
6.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

7/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/02 · mark par7/0220/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/02 · mark par27/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/03 · mark par8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par14/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 89%7/02Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%27/03Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%14/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%24/07
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.3%Ahead 2/4
2
7
OR 70
8/1
Stay Beautiful silks

Yoni Orantes

3yo Filly · 8-8

Volatile - Light Of The Nile (Eskendereya)

Summer Pauly60%Yoni Orantes
713711
3.0

Class Advantage

16/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/098/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/10 · mark par5/11 · C9 · finish vs mark above5/11 · mark par16/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/01 · mark par15/02 · C9 · finish vs mark above15/02 · mark par24/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par24/04projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%16/09Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 90%5/11Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 11%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 91%15/02Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%24/04
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.0%Ahead 3/4
7
4
OR 73
30/1
Little Dixie silks

Las Mercedes Stable

6yo Mare · 8-10

Union Rags - Sanaaya (Smart Strike)

Gerardo Corrales60%0/1Tito Moreno
625136
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

25/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/09 · mark par25/0923/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/10 · mark par28/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/11 · mark par16/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par14/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par6/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%25/09Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 89%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 43%28/11Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%14/06Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%6/07
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.1%Ahead 2/4
8
6
OR 82
15/1
Acousticat silks

Kallee Crow

4yo Filly · 8-10

Maclean's Music - Bonita Cat (Tale Of The Cat)

Adam BeschizzaJoe Roberts
961123
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

3/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/01 · mark par3/0114/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/02 · mark par26/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par7/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par10/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 55%3/01Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 38%26/02Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%10/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%28/07
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.3%Ahead 3/4
5
8
OR 73
30/1
Evalina silks

Guerrero Racing Stables, Llc

4yo Filly · 8-10

Malibu Moon - Elusive Bitcoin (Elusive Quality)

Kevin Jimenez0/7Sal Guerrero
931511
2.0

Class Advantage

27/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/10 · mark par27/1022/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below22/01 · mark par18/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/02 · mark par7/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par25/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par24/06projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 22%27/10Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 73%18/02Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 27%25/04Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%24/06
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.5%Ahead 4/4