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19:18 · Churchill Downs

Race 6 - Starter Allowance

7f3YO plusDIRT8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
Top Pick1
OR 86
3/1
Mighty Nora silks

Commonwealth Stable

Mighty Nora

3yo Filly · 8-6

Global Campaign - Blazen Betsy (Speightstown)

Cristian Torres60%1/1Dallas Stewart
232941
8.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

19/02 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/02 · mark par19/0214/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par17/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par7/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par3/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par20/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par20/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 86%19/02Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 86%17/04Pos 9 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 9 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%3/06Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%20/06
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.2%Ahead 1/4
4
4
OR 87
9/2
Carol's Melody silks

Kenneally, Eddie, Schumer, Barry And Brown, James F

Carol's Melody

3yo Filly · 8-6

Shancelot - Empires Answer (Empire Maker)

D E SheehyEddie Kenneally60%
915141
8.0

Class Advantage

1/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par1/039/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par22/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par21/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 27%1/03Pos 1 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%22/05Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%10/07Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%21/08
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.1%Ahead 3/4
7
2
OR 88
4/1
Miss Elle silks

Snake River Stable Llc

Miss Elle

4yo Filly · 8-9

Shancelot - Beccawhit (Roman Ruler)

Tyler Gaffalione60%0/1Robert Medina60%
112556
5.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

17/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above17/10 · mark par17/1028/11 · C7 · finish vs mark above28/11 · mark par2/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/01 · mark par6/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/02 · mark par20/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/02 · mark par17/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par17/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%17/10Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 90%2/01Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 43%20/02Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 29%17/06
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.1%Ahead 2/4
6
Market Fav8
OR 89
9/5
Ships Inn silks

Donamire Farm

Ships Inn

3yo Filly · 8-8

Midshipman - Northern Michigan (Broken Vow)

Luis Saez60%Gregory Foley
435021
6.0

Class Advantage

9/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/01 · mark par9/016/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par3/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par9/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par24/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 73%9/01Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 56%3/04Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%9/07Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%24/08
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.0%Ahead 2/4
5
3
OR 81
15/1
In For A Spin silks

Caraway Racing, Llc

In For A Spin

4yo Filly · 8-9

Hard Spun - Conquest Superstep (Super Saver)

Victor Carrasco1/3Caio Caramori
363143
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

15/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par15/0415/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par3/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par14/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par26/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par23/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%15/04Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%3/06Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%26/07Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%23/08
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.2%Ahead 2/4
2
5
OR 89
12/1
Belle Of The Barn silks

Sea Glass Stables, Llc

Belle Of The Barn

3yo Filly · 8-6

Street Sense - Heartofthematter (Medaglia D'oro)

Jaime Torres60%Caio Caramori
728492
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

22/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/0121/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par25/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/03 · mark par14/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par31/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par6/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%22/01Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%25/03Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%31/07Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%6/09
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.9%Ahead 2/4
1
6
OR 91
15/1
Late To The Game silks

Medina, Robert And Athens Woods Llc

Late To The Game

5yo Mare · 8-9

Competitive Edge - A P Mink (A.p. Indy)

Abel CedilloRobert Medina60%
661337
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

17/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/10 · mark par17/1021/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par21/12 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/12 · mark par18/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/01 · mark par1/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par26/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par26/03projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 29%17/10Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%21/12Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 82%1/03Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 40%26/03
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.2%Ahead 3/4
3
7
OR 89
10/1
Full Dolly silks

Robbins Iii, Lansdon B And Boyd, John D

Full Dolly

3yo Filly · 8-6

Authentic - Exuberance (Archarcharch)

Brian Jr Hernandez60%Jr Thomas Drury,60%
27316
5.0

Class Advantage

9/01 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a9/0118/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par9/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par3/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par6/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 89%9/01Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%18/04Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 82%9/05Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%3/06Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 29%6/07
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.1%Ahead 3/4