15:20 · Curragh

Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap)

2m 170yGoing TBC3YO plusTURFHandicap33 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market Fav2
OR 103
5/1
The Reverend silks

Tony Bloom & Ian McAleavy

5yo Gelding · 9-10

Lope De Vega - Burning Rules (Aussie Rules)

Billy Lee60%W P Mullins60%
495114
7.0Going 7.0
Tongue strap

Progressive handicapper for William Haggas last autumn. Showed bundles of potential in a couple of hurdle starts prior to running a cracker when 1-length fourth in a Premier Handicap at Leopardstown on return. In excellent hands for first tilt at 2m on the Flat and likely has a valuable pot in him.

Class Advantage

26/10 · C2 · finish vs mark above26/10 · mark par26/1014/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par19/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par6/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par3/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 9 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%26/10Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 100%3/01Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 85%12/09
Projected finish1st of 33100% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.5%Ahead 3/4
13
3
OR 94
6/1
Tim Toe silks

C Acheson

5yo Gelding · 9-1

Joshua Tree - Kilbarry Rose (Doyen)

Ronan Whelan2/4H De Bromhead60%
1313
7.0Going 9.0

Bred for jumps but has proved remarkably versatile regards ground trip. Added to his bumper/1½m maiden wins when successful in a 1m conditions event at Listowel in May. Travelled as well as any when well-backed third over significantly further in Ascot Stakes (2½m) latest. Can go well again.

Class Advantage

8/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/1126/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a31/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par16/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par16/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/7 | Expected: 99%Pos 2 · SP 2/7 | Actual: 93%8/11Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%11/04Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%31/05Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 89%16/06
Projected finish2nd of 3397% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.8%Ahead 3/4
14
10
OR 86
14/1
Immutable silks

Gerard Kervick

6yo Gelding · 9-0

Muhaarar - Rosie Scot (Holy Roman Emperor)

Gary Carroll60%3/13J G Murphy
359221
8.0Going 8.0

Fairly useful hurdle winner (2m, heavy). Runner-up in top-end handicap at Galway before gamely going one better in a similar event at Leopardstown (13f). No easy task to defy a 7-lb penalty in a race this competitive and into uncharted territory over this far on the Flat.

Class Advantage

11/12 · C12 · finish vs mark below11/12 · mark par11/1218/01 · C12 · finish vs mark below18/01 · mark par3/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par3/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par31/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par12/09 · C9 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%11/12Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 53%3/04Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 94%31/07Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%12/09
Projected finish3rd of 3394% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +50.8%Ahead 4/4
20
13
OR 101
8/1
Port Of Spain silks

Westerberg,Mrs J Magnier,M Tabor,D Smith

3yo Colt · 8-13

St Mark's Basilica - Alive Alive Oh (Duke Of Marmalade)

R L Moore70%0/2A P O'Brien
375072
4.0

Useful juvenile who's developed into a smart performer this year. Suited by well-run race when narrowly denied in handicap at Naas (11f). Certainly bred for longer trips (half-brother to Park Hill winner) and very interesting contender for stable who've won this with 3-y-os in recent years.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par18/1026/10 · C0 · finish vs mark below26/10 · mark par16/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par17/06 · C0 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par31/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par23/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 19th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%18/10Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 56%16/05Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 65%31/07Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 88%23/08
Projected finish4th of 3391% of fieldRange 1-22 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.2%Ahead 2/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 109
33/1
Chally Chute silks

Ms Julie White

8yo Gelding · 10-2

Fast Company - Edith Somerville (Refuse To Bend)

Sam Coen60%0/1−5lbR O'Sullivan
012125
8.0

Won a listed event and C&D Group 3 here either side of finishing ½-length second in 2025 renewal of this race. Seemingly retains all that ability judged on a couple of starts in 1½m listed races in June, though is 5 lb higher than last year.

Class Advantage

3/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above3/11 · mark par3/111/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par28/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/09 · mark par2/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above2/11 · mark par19/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par30/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par30/06projClass-projected finish: 12th of 33
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%3/11Pos 1 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 97%28/09Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%19/06Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 43%30/06
Projected finish5th of 3388% of fieldRange 4-33 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.0%Ahead 3/4
2
9
OR 107
8/1
Absurde silks

H O S Syndicate

8yo Gelding · 10-0

Fastnet Rock - Incroyable (Singspiel)

Daniel KingW P Mullins80%
532378
3.0Going 10.0

Admirable dual-purpose performer who finished eighth in the Melbourne Cup when last seen on the Flat. Subsequent 3 runs over hurdles were miles from his best (possibly feeling the effects of his globetrotting). Feasibly treated if back on song following 4 months away.

Class Advantage

14/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par14/0616/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par4/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a13/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par5/04 · C15 · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par1/05 · C0 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par1/05projClass-projected finish: 31st of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 67%14/06Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 70%4/11Pos 20 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 20 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 83%5/04Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%1/05
Projected finish6th of 3384% of fieldRange 4-29 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.2%Ahead 1/4
12
7
OR 94
16/1
Blake silks

Mrs P Sloan

5yo Gelding · 9-1

Zoffany - Love's Secret (Pivotal)

Colin KeaneN Meade
141561
6.0Going 8.0

Smooth traveller who posted a career-best Flat success at Leopardstown (1½m) on second start for present yard last autumn. Ended novice hurdle season with cracking second Grade 1 Champion Novice at Punchestown in April. Good record fresh and could be very interesting if he stays this longer trip.

Class Advantage

19/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/10 · mark par19/101/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/11 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a1/02 · C1 · finish vs mark below1/02 · mark par8/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par28/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par28/04projClass-projected finish: 6th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 93%19/10Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 86%30/11Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 75%8/03Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 86%28/04
Projected finish7th of 3381% of fieldRange 6-33 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.4%Ahead 3/4
5
6
OR 104
16/1
A Piece Of Heaven silks

Syndicates Racing

8yo Gelding · 9-11

Jukebox Jury - Activa (Sendawar)

Luke McAteer1/3J P O'Brien60%
232216
6.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Ground-versatile stayer. Things fell right when landing Chester Cup in May. Didn't last out the marathon distance under a typically positive ride in Queen Alexandra at Royal Ascot subsequently. Should fare better back down in trip, while probably needing a career best to land another big prize.

Class Advantage

10/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/075/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/02 · C11 · finish vs mark below27/02 · mark par3/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par8/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par20/06projClass-projected finish: 13th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 3 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 50%10/07Pos 12 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 12 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 83%27/02Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%8/05Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 58%20/06
Projected finish8th of 3378% of fieldRange 1-33 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.3%Ahead 3/4
23
19
OR 90
66/1
Sirius silks

Coldunell Limited

7yo Mare · 8-11

Ectot - Across The Sky (Cape Cross)

Andrew Slattery60%W P Mullins60%
014010
5.0
Hood

Smooth-travelling mare who's been lightly raced since 2024. Looked as good as ever when successful in Amateur Riders Derby here (1½m) last October. Didn't get the gaps on return at Galway (2m) and type who'll be ridden to pick up the pieces late here.

Class Advantage

28/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par28/0629/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par2/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par28/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/09 · mark par21/10 · C9 · finish vs mark above21/10 · mark par27/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 14th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%28/06Pos 1 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 82%2/08Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 59%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%21/10Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 47%27/07
Projected finish9th of 3375% of fieldRange 1-29 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.0%Ahead 4/4
21
4
OR 91
33/1
Puturhandstogether silks

John P McManus

5yo Gelding · 8-12

Caravaggio - Round Of Applause (Galileo)

N G McCullagh1/1J P O'Brien
173170
4.0Going 8.0

2025 Fred Winter winner who was successful in the 2025 renewal of this race off 9 lb lower mark. Had excuses for several starts across both codes since, though ran no sort of race without obvious reason in Galway Hurdle latest. Reunites with last year's winning rider (1-1).

Class Advantage

30/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below30/11 · mark par30/1111/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below11/03 · mark par4/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par8/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par16/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par30/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 32nd of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 44%30/11Pos 16 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 16 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 35%Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 29%4/04Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 16 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 16 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 21%16/06Pos 18 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 18 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 11%30/07
Projected finish10th of 3372% of fieldRange 31-33 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.9%Ahead 1/4
4
8
OR 105
16/1
Leinster silks

Al Shira'aa Racing

5yo Gelding · 9-12

Camelot - Black Envy (Kingman)

Seamie HeffernanJ P O'Brien60%
944535
3.0
Tongue strap

Borderline smart performer who hit the frame in the Ascot Stakes/Chester Cup last season. Finished third in an Irish St Leger Trial prior to running as well as could be expected when well-held fifth in the main event here (1¾m, 100/1) last time. Could well make more impact back in a handicap.

Class Advantage

14/09 · C0 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/0925/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par15/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par19/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par22/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par13/09 · C0 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 23rd of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%14/09Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%15/05Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%22/08Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 33%13/09
Projected finish11th of 3369% of fieldRange 17-33 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.0%Ahead 1/4
7
5
OR 102
50/1
Uxmal silks

Flaxman Stables Ireland Ltd

7yo Gelding · 9-9

Galileo - Only Mine (Pour Moi)

Scott McCullaghJ P O'Brien
117534
4.0

Hasn't stood much racing since his victory in 2024 Queen Alexandra at Ascot. Didn't build on the promise of his comeback run at Galway (1¾m) last time. Will likely need to be back to his very best to defy his mark in a race this competitive, for all he'll relish the greater stamina test here.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C11 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par14/0522/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par19/07 · C0 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par2/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above2/11 · mark par19/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par31/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 22nd of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%14/05Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%19/07Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 78%19/06Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 40%31/07
Projected finish12th of 3366% of fieldRange 26-33 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.0%Ahead 1/4
31
23
OR 88
14/1
Too Bossy For Us silks

H O S Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Golden Horn - Above The Clouds (High Chaparral)

Reserve 1W P Mullins70%
306663
5.0
Cheek pieces

Shaped well when sixth to Comfort Zone in 2m Galway handicap in July. Again ran well when close third to Immutable at Leopardstown (13f) latest. Contrasting conditions will hold no fears and while weighted to be competitive, he'll need to settle better back up in trip. RESERVE

Class Advantage

28/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par28/043/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par26/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par27/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par30/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par12/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 17th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%28/04Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%26/06Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 74%Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 32%30/07Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 90%12/09
Projected finish13th of 3363% of fieldRange 4-27 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.9%Ahead 3/4
15
26
OR 93
6/1
Sky Captain silks

Joseph Joyce

5yo Gelding · 9-0

Fracas - Saoire (Pivotal)

J M Sheridan60%J P O'Brien
12226
5.0Going 10.0

Low-mileage 5-y-o. Winner of a Roscommon maiden (1½m) on debut last summer. Useful form to finish runner-up on each of his 3 subsequent outings for Paddy Twomey. Shaped well returning over much shorter when sixth on stable debut here (1¼m) latest. Another completely unexposed over this sort of trip.

Class Advantage

1/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/071/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a12/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par31/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par13/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%1/07Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%1/08Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 80%12/05Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 80%31/05Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 76%13/09
Projected finish14th of 3359% of fieldRange 3-20 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.7%Ahead 1/4
26
21
OR 89
12/1
Light Up The Dark silks

John P McManus

5yo Mare · 8-10

Camelot - Tiptree (Duke Of Marmalade)

Declan McDonogh60%1/1J P O'Brien60%
341492
6.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Low-mileage 5-y-o who returned with a cosy win at Gowran. Back on the up when runner-up in a useful handicap at Killarney (14.5f). Could well be more to come with cheekpieces added back up in trip, and looks one of the stable's better fancied runners on jockey bookings.

Class Advantage

30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par30/0726/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par8/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par8/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par27/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par21/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%30/07Pos 4 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%8/04Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 57%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 58%27/07Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%21/08
Projected finish15th of 3356% of fieldRange 11-28 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.1%Ahead 3/4
9
24
OR 98
33/1
Comfort Zone silks

John P McManus

7yo Gelding · 9-5

Churchill - Iveagh Gardens (Mastercraftsman)

Julian Pietropaolo60%−7lbJ P O'Brien70%
30P019
3.0
1st Visor +2

Finished well when 7½ lengths behind his stablemate in this corresponding event 12 months ago. Ran well when beaten 2 lengths in a very condensed finish at Leopardstown (13f, good to firm) latest. Tried in another change of headgear and will at least be suited by this stiffer test of stamina.

Class Advantage

12/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/10 · mark par12/103/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par16/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par27/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par1/08 · C1 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par12/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 21st of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 89%12/10Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 24%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 47%16/06Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 13 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 13 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 37%1/08Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 60%12/09
Projected finish16th of 3353% of fieldRange 1-33 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.7%Ahead 3/4
17
14
OR 92
33/1
Galileo Dame silks

Annus Mirabilis Syndicate/Sean O'Driscoll/Middle Cow Unlimited

5yo Mare · 8-13

Galileo Gold - Two For Tea (Mount Nelson)

Chris Hayes60%0/1J P O'Brien60%
477033
5.0
Cheek pieces

Sole Flat success came in a Leopardstown maiden in 2024. Has acquitted herself with plenty of credit in ultra-competitive staying handicaps this season. Arrives on the back of a creditable 2-length third in 1½ listed event at Galway and stiffer test certainly no harm for this versatile mare.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par8/0516/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par8/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par27/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par31/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par8/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 16th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 79%8/05Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 68%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 25%8/07Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 53%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%31/07Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 87%8/09
Projected finish17th of 3350% of fieldRange 14-33 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.1%Ahead 1/4
10
17
OR 97
10/1
Valiancy silks

Wathnan Racing

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Cracksman - Dromana (Dutch Art)

James Doyle80%1/3W J Haggas60%
321169
5.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Sole British raider. Completed a double in stylish fashion on return at Hamilton (13f). Better than he could show when sixth in Copper Horse at Royal Ascot (1¾m) and again asked to come from a long way back when a non-stayer at Goodwood (2½m). Has potential but softer ground would be an unknown.

Class Advantage

5/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/0730/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par6/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par17/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par16/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par31/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 15th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 78%5/07Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%6/09Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%16/06Pos 9 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 9 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 43%31/07
Projected finish18th of 3347% of fieldRange 19-32 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.8%Ahead 2/4
22
29
OR 91
16/1
Truth Be Told silks

K Campbell

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Too Darn Hot - Princess Highway (Street Cry)

Robbie ColganM C Grassick
941126
6.0

Useful 4-y-o handicapper who's improved for current connections this year. Caught further back than ideal when beaten 2 lengths in a very valuable handicap at Leopardstown (13f). Has stamina on his dam's side and interesting if improving for the longer trip.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par27/0613/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par9/10 · C7 · finish vs mark above9/10 · mark par10/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par20/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par12/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 58%27/06Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%9/10Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%20/07Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%12/09
Projected finish19th of 3344% of fieldRange 5-25 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.5%Ahead 3/4
3
11
OR 107
20/1
Tennessee Stud silks

Westerberg,Tabor,Magnier,Smith

4yo Colt · 10-0

Wootton Bassett - In My Dreams (Sadler's Wells)

Hugh Horgan−5lbJ P O'Brien60%
410367
4.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Smart Group 2 winner over 15f in France last year. Again flying too high when well beaten in first-time cheekpieces in Irish St Leger here latest. Hard to rule out a revival on return to calmer waters, especially if the forecast rain arrives.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C0 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par29/067/09 · C0 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par4/10 · C0 · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par29/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par19/07 · C0 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par13/09 · C0 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 33rd of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%29/06Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%4/10Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%19/07Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%13/09
Projected finish20th of 3341% of fieldRange 25-33 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.5%Ahead 1/4
19
27
OR 92
14/1
Granite Bay silks

Mrs Sarah Collins

5yo Gelding · 8-13

Time Test - Indira (Sleeping Indian)

Reese Holohan60%−7lbJ P Fahey60%
424372
6.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Forward-going handicapper who's been admirably consistent despite not winning for over 2 years. As good as ever when 1-length second at Chester (2m) last time. Likely needs to improve for the addition of cheekpieces, if he's to snap his losing run in a race of nature.

Class Advantage

12/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/10 · mark par12/1027/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/10 · mark par9/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par3/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par27/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 84%12/10Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 63%9/04Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 68%27/07Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%12/09
Projected finish21st of 3338% of fieldRange 4-31 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.7%Ahead 2/4
11
12
OR 96
33/1
Bunting silks

Tony Bloom

6yo Gelding · 9-3

Bathyrhon - That's Crazy (Lord Shanakill)

Ben Coen70%0/1W P Mullins60%
134530
5.0

Useful dual-purpose performer. Personal best when third in the Cesarewitch at Newmarket last autumn. Hadn't been pulling up any trees over hurdles prior to never threatening in the Ascot stakes. Makes only second Flat start of the year following confidence-boosting win on chasing debut last time.

Class Advantage

1/02 · C1 · finish vs mark below1/02 · mark par1/0211/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below11/03 · mark par29/04 · C13 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par16/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par1/08 · C1 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par24/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a24/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 56%1/02Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 65%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 44%29/04Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 74%1/08Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%24/08
Projected finish22nd of 3334% of fieldRange 24-33 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.5%Ahead 3/4
29
15
OR 88
33/1
Shoda silks

Ray Grehan

5yo Mare · 8-9

Nathaniel - Que Pasa (Loup Solitaire)

Shay Wallace60%−7lbJ P O'Brien60%
405221
6.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Successful in 2m Clonmel handicap on latest Flat start this time last year. Reverts to the level on the back of a breakthrough success in a mares maiden hurdle at Downpatrick latest. Another who needs a career best.

Class Advantage

26/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/128/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/01 · mark par1/02 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/02 · mark par3/03 · C12 · finish vs mark below3/03 · mark par29/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par9/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 90%26/12Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 88%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 53%1/02Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 63%29/07Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%9/08
Projected finish23rd of 3331% of fieldRange 32-33 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.0%Ahead 1/4
8
25
OR 101
50/1
Holy See silks

William Durkan

5yo Gelding · 9-8

Night Of Thunder - Lady Of The Lamp (Invincible Spirit)

Jamie Orr60%1/2−7lbW Durkan
241020
5.0

Lightly raced in this sphere. Back on the up when runner-up in a 2m Premier Handicap at Galway Festival (arguably unlucky not to win). Still looked unexposed as a stayer prior to trailing the field at Chester 2 weeks ago, more to it than his poor position.

Class Advantage

29/12 · C8 · finish vs mark above29/12 · mark par29/1226/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/01 · mark par9/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par3/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par27/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 25th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%29/12Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%9/04Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 95%27/07Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%12/09
Projected finish24th of 3328% of fieldRange 7-33 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.3%Ahead 3/4
16
16
OR 92
20/1
Eagle Fang silks

William Durkan

6yo Gelding · 8-13

Free Eagle - Scatina (Samum)

Sadhbh Tormey−7lbW Durkan60%
32148
5.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Smart hurdler. Much-improved fourth behind Comfort Zone in 2m Premier Handicap at Galway Festival on penultimate start. No obvious excuses for his subsequent disappointment at Killarney, for all he's still relatively early-on in his Flat career.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C2 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/051/06 · C14 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par18/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par21/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 20th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 93%9/05Pos 6 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 6 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 93%18/06Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 84%27/07Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 22%21/08
Projected finish25th of 3325% of fieldRange 11-33 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.6%Ahead 3/4
32
31
OR 87
20/1
Alphonse Le Grande silks

Bet Small Win Big Syndicate

7yo Gelding · 8-8

Sea The Stars - Dolce Strega (Zoffany)

Reserve 2A J Martin
870054
3.0
Tongue strap

Back down to the mark he landed the Cesarewitch from in 2024. Hasn't won since but not disgraced when beaten 10½ lengths at Goodwood (2½m) latest. Considered, especially if supported RESERVE.

Class Advantage

14/11 · C3 · finish vs mark above14/11 · mark par14/1128/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/11 · mark par24/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par8/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par31/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 18th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 64%14/11Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 20%24/04Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 21%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 79%27/06Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 79%31/07
Projected finish26th of 3322% of fieldRange 17-31 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.4%Ahead 4/4
18
33
OR 92
66/1
Glenroyal silks

Ray Grehan

4yo Gelding · 8-13

Australia - Reine De Coeur (Montjeu)

Keithen Kennedy−5lbJ P O'Brien60%
011080
3.0
1st Visor +2

Hasn't entirely proved his stamina in a handful of starts over staying trips, latterly when eighth behind stable Comfort Zone at Galway. Now back up in trip sporting more headgear, having not been disgraced in 13f handicap at Leopardstown. Doesn't look the obvious hope for yard with strong hand.

Class Advantage

29/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above29/09 · mark par29/0913/10 · C9 · finish vs mark above13/10 · mark par11/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par27/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par12/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 30th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%29/09Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 45%11/05Pos 19 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 5%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 63%27/07Pos 18 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 15%12/09
Projected finish27th of 3319% of fieldRange 6-33 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.6%Ahead 4/4
30
18
OR 96
50/1
Madbadanddangerous silks

J Hunt

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Coulsty - Bonnefio (Teofilo)

Gavin Ryan1/2N Meade
271160
4.0Going 8.0

This race mooted as a target following a second success of the year at Galway in July. Finished 6 lengths off Highwayman prior to finishing well beaten at Leopardstown (13f, 25/1) last time. At least worth noting for each-way support on first crack over 2m.

Class Advantage

12/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par12/0416/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par20/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par27/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par20/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par12/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 28th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 86%12/04Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%20/06Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%20/08Pos 20 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 20 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 5%12/09
Projected finish28th of 3316% of fieldRange 13-33 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.4%Ahead 3/4
33
28
OR 86
66/1
Michonne silks

Linda Kiely

4yo Filly · 8-7

Cracksman - Best Regards (Tamayuz)

Reserve 3Mrs J Harrington80%
64610
3.0

Dual Flat winner in France for Francis-Henri Graffard. Didn't offer much on return/first Flat start for present yard earlier this month. Needs a fair bit more here. RESERVE

Class Advantage

2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a2/0918/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a27/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/02 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a6/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 27th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 44%2/09Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%27/12Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%6/04Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%16/09
Projected finish29th of 3313% of fieldRange 14-33 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.2%Ahead 3/4
25
20
OR 89
20/1
Kingstonian silks

Kingstonian Partnership

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Study Of Man - Kinetica (Stormy Atlantic)

Nathan CrosseJ P O'Brien60%
413294
5.0Going 8.0
1st Visor +2

Chester Plate runner-up who improved when 2 lengths fourth in valuable Galway handicap in July. Returns to Flat in first-time visor following promising third on hurdling debut last month. Potentially well treated and still far from exposed as a stayer.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par16/0823/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par8/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par24/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par31/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par22/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%16/08Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 94%8/05Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 65%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 82%31/07Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 87%22/08
Projected finish30th of 339% of fieldRange 24-33 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.3%Ahead 1/4
24
30
OR 89
66/1
Cornelienne silks

John P McManus

5yo Mare · 8-10

Golden Horn - Australienne (Monsun)

Jamie PowellJ P O'Brien
431205
4.0

Useful for Christophe Ferland in France in 2024. Hasn't stood much racing recently, hitting the frame in couple of maiden hurdles and probably needing her comeback (10.5f) at Sligo last month. On handy mark if recapturing her best on third Flat start for excellent yard.

Class Advantage

13/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a13/0814/11 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a28/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/11 · mark par15/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par5/08projClass-projected finish: 24th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%13/08Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%28/11Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 91%14/01Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%5/08
Projected finish31st of 336% of fieldRange 11-33 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.3%Ahead 2/4
27
22
OR 98
33/1
Shosholoza silks

Rectory Road Holdings Limited & Emma Palmer & William Slattery & Mrs A M O'Brien

3yo Colt · 8-10

Australia - Ecosse (Acclamation)

Wayne LordanJ P O'Brien70%
15866
3.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Hasn't matched the pick of his useful juvenile form in trio starts this season. Did at least run a bit better when beaten 4¾ lengths on handicap bow at Down Royal (13f, soft) in June. Another unexposed Joseph O'Brien runner tackling a markedly longer trip in new headgear (tongue strap).

Class Advantage

5/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/1026/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a12/04 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a23/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par20/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par20/06projClass-projected finish: 26th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%5/10Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 56%26/10Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 13%12/04Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 38%23/05Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 38%20/06
Projected finish32nd of 333% of fieldRange 33-33 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.7%Ahead 2/4
28
32
OR 89
66/1
Zanndabad silks

P G Davies

7yo Gelding · 8-10

Iffraaj - Zanoubiya (Dalakhani)

James RyanA J Martin60%
049880
2.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Flat maiden who shaped well when sixth in the 2024 renewal of this race. Hasn't been at the peak of his powers in 3 starts on the Flat this year, however, he's dropped to a reasonable mark for a yard more than capable of producing one to land a big pot.

Class Advantage

19/10 · C3 · finish vs mark above19/10 · mark par19/1029/11 · C2 · finish vs mark above29/11 · mark par11/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par8/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par21/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 29th of 33
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 170y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%19/10Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 18%11/04Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 63%27/06Pos 14 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 14 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 13%21/08
Projected finish33rd of 330% of fieldRange 20-33 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.5%Ahead 3/4