18:45 · Churchill Downs

Race 5 - Claiming

1m3YO plusDIRT9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Market Fav2
OR 86
2/1
Our Shenanigan silks

Jeanine Cumiskey

4yo Filly · 8-10

Practical Joke - Claudette Nonstop (The Factor)

Ben CurtisJoe Sharp90%
123458
4.0
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

26/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par26/0330/04 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par25/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par17/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par8/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par6/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%26/03Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%25/05Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%8/08Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 22%6/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.2%Ahead 3/4
6
Top Pick1
OR 82
5/1
Honor Azteca silks

Voss, Gene A , Detmar, Wayne And Shepard, Kent

3yo Filly · 8-6

Honor A. P. - Economy Of Motion (Pleasantly Perfect)

James Graham60%1/7J Desormeaux
260361
6.0

Class Advantage

27/02 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/02 · mark par27/029/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par29/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par5/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par9/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par23/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 86%27/02Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 9%29/04Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 29%9/07Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%23/07
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.4%Ahead 1/4
4
3
OR 84
6/1
Keen Gal silks

Rabindranat Acuna

4yo Filly · 8-10

Keen Ice - Red Dane (Red Rocks)

Johanis Aranguren60%−5lbEduardo Rodriguez60%
135343
6.0

Class Advantage

26/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par26/0414/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par7/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par5/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par19/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength79%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%26/04Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%7/06Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%19/07Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%4/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.5%Ahead 2/4
2
5
OR 78
30/1
Wildest Problem silks

Tatyana Velarde

3yo Filly · 8-6

Modernist - Not My Problem (Connect)

Gabriel SaezJoe Roberts60%
441541
6.0

Class Advantage

21/02 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a21/0222/03 · C9 · finish vs mark above22/03 · mark par30/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par12/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par11/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%21/02Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%22/03Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 64%30/05Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%12/06Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%11/07
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +49.6%Ahead 4/4
8
4
OR 85
8/1
Wild Acclaim silks

Steven Asmussen

6yo Mare · 8-10

Flatter - Prodicious Facts (Giant's Causeway)

Keith Asmussen60%0/1Steven Asmussen
734554
4.0

Class Advantage

5/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/03 · mark par5/0325/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par21/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%5/03Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%3/06Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%10/07Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%21/08
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.5%Ahead 3/4
3
7
OR 85
3/1
Final Shipman silks

D G Racing Llc

3yo Filly · 8-6

Midshipman - Final Adventure (Orb)

Edgar Morales60%0/1Jordan Blair
164223
6.0

Class Advantage

3/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par3/1031/10 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/10 · mark par14/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par23/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par21/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 14%3/10Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%14/03Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%10/07Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%21/08
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.8%Ahead 2/4
5
6
OR 80
15/1
Country Club silks

Mary Howard

4yo Filly · 8-10

West Coast - Cross Your Heart (Curlin)

Alex Achard60%Mary Howard60%
012139
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

19/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/10 · mark par19/1010/01 · C9 · finish vs mark above10/01 · mark par14/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/02 · mark par19/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/04 · mark par24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par3/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 40%19/10Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 90%14/02Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 67%24/07Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 11%3/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.7%Ahead 3/4
9
8
OR 75
6/1
Barbratina silks

Steven Asmussen

5yo Mare · 8-10

Catholic Boy - Sally Ride (Tapit)

D E SheehySteven Asmussen
150447
4.0Class ↓7

Class Advantage

1/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par1/0616/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/03 · mark par3/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%1/06Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%3/05Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%19/06Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 0%10/07
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -38.9%Ahead 0/4
1
9
OR 77
20/1
Zafyre silks

Lisa Tiemeyer Stable Llc

3yo Filly · 8-6

Honor A. P. - Angelo's Ashes (Exchange Rate)

Walter Rodriguez60%1/3Jerry Antonuik
712314
3.0

Class Advantage

18/12 · C9 · finish vs mark above18/12 · mark par18/124/01 · C9 · finish vs mark above4/01 · mark par5/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/02 · mark par1/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par12/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par9/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par9/04projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 73%18/12Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 22%5/02Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 40%12/03Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 40%9/04
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.9%Ahead 3/4