13:30 · Ayr

Ladbrokes Ayr Silver Cup Handicap

6fGoing TBCClass 23YO plusTURFHandicap25 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
2
OR 90
10/1
Deep Havana silks

Wathnan Racing

5yo Gelding · 9-12

Havana Grey - Strictly Silca (Danehill Dancer)

James Doyle80%H Al Jehani
622221
8.0

A fairly useful 6f/7f performer for A. De Mieulle in Qatar early in 2025. Made light of a 17-month absence for new yard with success in 18-runner handicap at Thirsk 22 days ago. Saddles a 5 lb penalty but runner-up has gone in since and a likely player here with few miles still on the clock.

Class Advantage

19/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/109/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/1128/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%19/10Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%9/11Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 100%28/08
Projected finish1st of 25100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +66.1%Ahead 3/3
11
5
OR 85
8/1
Havana Blue silks

Stuart Boyd & Niall O'Keeffe

6yo Gelding · 9-7

Havana Grey - Exrating (Exceed And Excel)

D Egan60%Miss J A Camacho
422211
9.0

Ended a long losing sequence at Newmarket (6f) in August and followed up in 13-runner handicap at Ascot (6f, good to firm) 2 weeks ago. This demands more but not taken lightly under a 5 lb penalty in his current mood.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/0611/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par7/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 57%12/06Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 94%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 90%24/07Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 89%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%15/08Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%5/09
Projected finish2nd of 2596% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.5%Ahead 3/4
5
Market Fav7
OR 94
13/2
Toyotomi silks

Jinky Farms

5yo Gelding · 9-11

Blue Point - Tribune (Grand Slam)

Oisin Murphy70%D O'Meara80%
631060
3.0Class ↓1

Listed winner when trained in France. Got off the mark for current yard at Goodwood (6f, soft) in June and shaped well when tenth of 24 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, good to soft) 6 days ago, still on bridle 1f out but unable to get through in time. Interesting with Oisin Murphy now up.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par8/0531/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par7/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par30/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par13/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 16th of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 44%8/05Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%7/06Pos 19 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%30/08Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 61%13/09
Projected finish3rd of 2592% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.5%Ahead 3/4
1
11
OR 95
8/1
Desert Falcon silks

The Sportsmans Syndicate

6yo Gelding · 9-12

Gleneagles - Love Oasis (Oasis Dream)

Ryan Sexton2/11Miss J A Camacho60%
120996
3.0
Cheek pieces

Enjoyed a fine 2025 when a dual winner and also runner-up in Gold Cup here. Right back on track following a breathing operation this summer, coming in a close sixth of 21 in Portland at Doncaster (5.5f, good) week ago. Primed for a bold showing.

Class Advantage

14/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/0920/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par13/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par6/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 25
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%14/09Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 96%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%13/05Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 58%22/08Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 75%12/09
Projected finish4th of 2588% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.6%Ahead 3/4
18
Top Pick1
OR 84
16/1
Eternal Sunshine silks

Mr James Callow & Mr J S Goldie

6yo Mare · 9-6

Orientor - Eternal Instinct (Exceed And Excel)

Lauren Young60%4/20−5lbJ S Goldie
260210
6.0Going 8.0

C&D scorer who resumed winning ways at Hamilton (6f) in August. Only eighteenth of 21 in Portland at Doncaster (5.5f, good) 7 days ago but third in Bronze Cup here 12 months ago so no surprise to see her get back in the mix.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par3/0710/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par21/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%3/07Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 55%Pos 16 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%25/07Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%21/08Pos 18 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 18 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 15%12/09
Projected finish5th of 2583% of fieldRange 11-25 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.5%Ahead 3/4
12
10
OR 85
8/1
Trilby silks

Tip Your Hat Partnership

6yo Gelding · 9-7

Twilight Son - Fascinator (Helmet)

Tom Marquand70%S England70%
310412
7.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Rejuvenated by fitting of cheekpieces and notched a third success of 2026 at Beverley (5f, heavy) in August. Posted another very good effort when second of 9 at Haydock (5f, soft) 2 weeks ago. Goes really well on soft ground so another bold showing is on the cards.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/059/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par29/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 89%23/05Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 30%25/07Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%29/08Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 88%5/09
Projected finish6th of 2579% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.2%Ahead 3/4
22
4
OR 89
20/1
Tricky Tel silks

Hewitt, Owen & Partner

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Ubettabelieveit - Ardbrae Tara (Galileo)

Jack Callan60%H Palmer80%
110205
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Boasts excellent Chester record with 3 course wins and finished good second there in July. Not seen to best effect at York and back at Chester last 2 runs. Can't be totally dismissed.

Class Advantage

27/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par27/0513/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par19/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par25/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par19/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par11/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 15th of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%27/05Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 62%19/06Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 19 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%19/08Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 56%11/09
Projected finish7th of 2575% of fieldRange 9-25 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.1%Ahead 3/4
2
8
OR 97
25/1
Super Soldier silks

The Jc Organization & Partners 1

3yo Gelding · 9-12

Dark Angel - First Party (Royal Applause)

C Lee70%1/8K R Burke80%
940000
2.0Class ↓2

Useful as a juvenile but without a win since debut and has found things tough in 4 outings this year, gelded before finishing in midfield in Portland at Doncaster (5.5f, good) a week ago.

Class Advantage

6/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/0918/10 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par28/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par13/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par19/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 14th of 25
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 11%6/09Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 9%28/03Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 21 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 21 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 5%19/06Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%12/09
Projected finish8th of 2571% of fieldRange 5-25 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.2%Ahead 4/4
17
13
OR 89
16/1
Jungle Drums silks

Jim And Claire Ltd And Jon & Kay Colli

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Bungle Inthejungle - Ayr Missile (Cadeaux Genereux)

S H James70%1/1J A Osborne
005144
5.0Class ↓1

Won twice on the all-weather for current yard without matching the best of his juvenile form (for Karl Burke). Good fourth of 10 in handicap at Goodwood (6f, soft) last time but this is tougher.

Class Advantage

31/10 · C3 · finish vs mark below31/10 · mark par31/1029/03 · C3 · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par7/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par14/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par30/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 13th of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%31/10Pos 16 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%7/06Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 70%30/07Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 67%30/08
Projected finish9th of 2567% of fieldRange 1-25 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.2%Ahead 2/4
15
12
OR 89
10/1
Rapper's Delight silks

Phil Cunningham

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Harry Angel - Timeless Gift (Camacho)

Saffie Osborne70%1/4R Spencer80%
992288
3.0
1st Blinkers +3

Sole success came in 5f Southwell novice in 2025 but took his form up a level when runner-up in 5f handicaps at Southwell and Newmarket in July. Not been seen to best effect from poor draws at Goodwood twice subsequently. Figures on a handy mark and not without interest in first-time blinkers.

Class Advantage

6/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/0327/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par5/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par10/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par28/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par30/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 38%6/03Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 88%5/07Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 68%28/07Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 22%30/08
Projected finish10th of 2563% of fieldRange 9-21 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.5%Ahead 2/4
21
16
OR 87
25/1
We Never Stop silks

Mr B T McDonald

5yo Gelding · 9-4

Cotai Glory - Deliziosa (Iffraaj)

K Stott70%0/2K A Ryan60%
800207
3.0
Cheek pieces

Without a win since last spring (last 3 wins on all-weather) but returned to form on the back of a breathing operation when second at Chester in June. Not best drawn when seventh at Thirsk (6f, good) last time so possibilities.

Class Advantage

14/04 · C3 · finish vs mark below14/04 · mark par14/0413/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par23/05 · C2 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par27/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par28/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 19th of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%14/04Pos 19 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 16 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%23/05Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 21 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 21 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%25/07Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 65%28/08
Projected finish11th of 2558% of fieldRange 1-24 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.7%Ahead 2/4
25
6
OR 87
33/1
Korker silks

Fine Claret Racing,mrs Burke & Mr C Wo

7yo Gelding · 9-4

Dandy Man - Adaptation (Spectrum)

T EavesK R Burke90%
806488
3.0Class ↓2
1st Visor +2

It's now thirty runs since his last win in 2023 and only eighth of 11 in handicap at Haydock (7f, soft) 2 weeks ago. Visor goes on for the first time with plenty more needed.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par25/0416/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par30/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par2/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par5/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 20th of 25
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 36%25/04Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%30/05Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 22%2/08Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 30%5/09
Projected finish12th of 2554% of fieldRange 12-25 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.6%Ahead 3/4
13
3
OR 89
25/1
Veblen Good silks

Mr J C G Chua

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Starspangledbanner - Pious Alexander (Acclamation)

C J Whiteley60%0/1−5lbD O'Meara80%
334407
3.0Class ↓1

Successful on return/stable debut at Pontefract in April and has made up into a reliable sprint handicapper typical of the yard, finishing in the frame 4 times since. Below-par effort over 7f at Ascot last time but is the type to bounce back.

Class Advantage

1/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/0720/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par16/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par28/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par4/09 · C3 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 24th of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 78%1/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 85%25/07Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 14 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 14 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 24%28/08Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 14%4/09
Projected finish13th of 2550% of fieldRange 23-25 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.6%Ahead 1/4
19
14
OR 88
20/1
Musical Touch silks

Naughty Vintage And Partner

5yo Gelding · 9-5

Mehmas - Ray Of Light (Canford Cliffs)

Warren Fentiman60%0/4R A Fahey60%
017103
5.0

Scored at Southwell in April and also bagged 21-runner handicap at York (6f) in June. Not disgraced off a career-high mark with third of 9 at Thirsk (6f, good to soft) 2 weeks ago. No forlorn hope.

Class Advantage

19/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/092/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/04 · mark par8/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par5/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 42%19/09Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 25%8/05Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 45%25/07Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%5/09
Projected finish14th of 2546% of fieldRange 2-25 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.5%Ahead 3/4
9
9
OR 90
16/1
Lord Roxby silks

N Skinner D Jenkins J Glover

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Soldier's Call - Miami Breeze (Born To Sea)

Alex Jary1/7N Tinkler
452130
5.0Going 8.0

Likeable type who returned to best when winning at York (6f) in May and doubled his tally for the season at Ripon (6f) in August. Solid third in Great St Wilfrid there since and poorly drawn when eleventh at Thirsk (6f, good) last time. Not out of things.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/061/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par20/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par3/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par15/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par28/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 85%13/06Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 88%20/07Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 85%15/08Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 41%28/08
Projected finish15th of 2542% of fieldRange 13-25 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.1%Ahead 3/4
24
19
OR 87
10/1
Uncle Don silks

Middleham Park Racing XI

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Oasis Dream - Bereka (Firebreak)

Marco Ghiani70%0/1R M H Cowell
725205
4.0Class ↓1

On a long losing run and not proving the easiest to catch right for his current yard, one of better efforts with fifth of 16 in handicap at Windsor (6f, good to firm) last month.

Class Advantage

18/12 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/12 · mark par18/123/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par1/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par25/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par15/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par10/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par10/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 45%18/12Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 91%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%1/05Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 10 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 10 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 18%15/06Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 73%10/08
Projected finish16th of 2538% of fieldRange 1-25 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.0%Ahead 2/4
7
17
OR 91
33/1
Brazilian Rose silks

Jpr Investments

5yo Mare · 9-8

Calyx - Miss Brazil (Exceed And Excel)

Kaiya Fraser70%7/26R Menzies
569070
2.0Class ↓1

Winner of 4 6f/7f handicaps at Southwell early this season but has found life tough contesting listed events since.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par6/0627/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par7/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par29/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par16/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par18/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 18th of 25
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%6/06Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 27%7/07Pos 12 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 33%16/08Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 23%18/09
Projected finish17th of 2533% of fieldRange 13-25 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.0%Ahead 4/4
23
15
OR 87
50/1
Wicket Keeper silks

Northgate Racing & Partner

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Kodi Bear - Tralong Bay (Showcasing)

Cam Hardie70%0/3A Brittain
042460
3.0Going 8.0

Dual 6f winner for Ed Bethell in 2025. Lightly raced for current yard and in good form first 2 runs at Newcastle before being poorly drawn at York (6f, good to soft) when last seen out in May. This is no easy return but he has won off a break.

Class Advantage

21/07 · C3 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par21/0718/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/10 · C3 · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par27/03 · C3 · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par13/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par13/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par13/05projClass-projected finish: 22nd of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 18 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 18 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%21/07Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 89%18/10Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%13/04Pos 21 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 21 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 5%13/05
Projected finish18th of 2529% of fieldRange 7-25 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.1%Ahead 4/4
14
25
OR 89
14/1
Goldmoyne silks

Mr Gordon McDowall

6yo Gelding · 9-6

Galileo Gold - Jumbo Romance (Tagula)

Jason Hart60%James Owen60%
422386
4.0
Cheek pieces

Yet another fine advert for his yard, winning 6 times on all-weather between December and March. Has held his form well from higher marks on turf since, sixth of 13 in handicap at Chester (7.5f, good) last time when ridden aggressively. In the mix again.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par30/0520/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par4/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par10/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par29/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 70%30/05Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 89%4/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 63%29/07Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 58%22/08
Projected finish19th of 2525% of fieldRange 11-22 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.6%Ahead 4/4
20
18
OR 88
25/1
Another Baar silks

Keatley Owners Group, Porter & Finnera

6yo Gelding · 9-5

Mayson - Rapid Recruit (Fast Company)

Mikey Sheehy60%0/5A Keatley
006070
2.0Class ↓2
Tongue strap

Landed 5f event in Bahrain in January. Hasn't built on that effort since, though had worst of draw when seventeenth of 21 in handicap at York (5.5f, good) last time.

Class Advantage

19/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a19/026/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par18/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par26/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par19/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 23rd of 25
Class readCOMPETITIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 17 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 17 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 6%19/02Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 53%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%18/06Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 40%1/08Pos 17 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 20%19/08
Projected finish20th of 2521% of fieldRange 10-25 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.9%Ahead 4/4
8
23
OR 86
20/1
Station X silks

Mr S Chappell & Partner

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Dark Angel - She's A Worldie (Kodiac)

O J OrrB Smart
641310
5.0

Has proved admirably consistent when racing over 6f this year, gaining a third victory of the campaign at Chester in August. Rare below-par effort when fourteenth of 21 in Portland at Doncaster (5.5f, good) 7 days ago but no surprise to see him bounce back here.

Class Advantage

17/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par17/059/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par13/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par22/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 58%17/05Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 70%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%13/06Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%22/08Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 35%12/09
Projected finish21st of 2517% of fieldRange 13-25 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.8%Ahead 4/4
10
21
OR 90
33/1
I'm Next silks

Mr B Parker & Partner

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Ardad - Dharwa (Equiano)

D Allan3/12T D Easterby
311620
5.0Going 8.0

Is enjoying a fine season and recorded his third win of the year when making all at Beverley (5f) in July. Good second in the Great St Wilfrid at Ripon (6f) subsequently but beat only one in Portland at Doncaster (5.5f, good) 7 days ago. Bounce back is needed.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/0620/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par17/07 · C3 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par15/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 17th of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%5/06Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 92%15/08Pos 20 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 20 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 5%12/09
Projected finish22nd of 2513% of fieldRange 7-25 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.1%Ahead 3/4
16
20
OR 91
20/1
Advertised silks

J Kay & T Goodair,

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Advertise - Miss Carbonia (Lilbourne Lad)

Oliver Stammers60%2/8Grant Tuer
429026
4.0

Dual 6f/7f winner at Newcastle last year. Bounced back to form with second at Hamilton (5f) in August but just a respectable sixth of 9 at Haydock (5f, soft) last time.

Class Advantage

10/10 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par10/1016/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par2/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par13/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par21/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 25
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 77%10/10Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 20%2/05Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 52%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 90%21/08Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 38%5/09
Projected finish23rd of 258% of fieldRange 12-25 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.9%Ahead 2/4
3
22
OR 95
20/1
Mirabeau silks

The Ffrench Revolution & Mrs T Hamilt

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Territories - Lubinka (Mastercraftsman)

D Tudhope60%1/2D J S Ffrench Davis
001200
4.0Class ↓1

Back to form to bag 6f handicap at Newbury (6f) in April and ran at least as well when second back there a month later. Well held at York and Ascot both runs since however so has plenty to prove.

Class Advantage

1/11 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/11 · mark par1/1128/03 · C2 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par17/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par16/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par13/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par5/09 · C2 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 21st of 25
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%1/11Pos 19 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%17/04Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 19 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 19 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%13/06Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 17%5/09
Projected finish24th of 254% of fieldRange 17-25 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.4%Ahead 2/4
6
24
OR 91
33/1
Commanche Falls silks

Doug Graham, Ian Davison, Alan Drysdal

9yo Gelding · 9-8

Lethal Force - Joyeaux (Mark Of Esteem)

P Mulrennan60%0/3M Dods60%
207038
3.0Class ↓2
Blinkers

One-time smart veteran (runner-up in Gold Cup back in 2022). Hasn't scored since 2023 but was runner-up in 2 handicaps in Bahrain over the winter. Best effort since returning to Britain when third at Ripon (6f) but beat just one at Thirsk (6f) last time.

Class Advantage

29/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a29/0119/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a17/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par3/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par5/09 · C3 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 25th of 25
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 94%29/01Pos 13 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 13 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%17/07Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%3/08Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 13%5/09
Projected finish25th of 250% of fieldRange 21-25 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.3%Ahead 1/4